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Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:HTZ) Surges 27% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 8 18:26

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:HTZ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 69% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Hertz Global Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Transportation industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.3x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqGS:HTZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Has Hertz Global Holdings Performed Recently?

Recent revenue growth for Hertz Global Holdings has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Hertz Global Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case.

Keen to find out how analysts think Hertz Global Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Hertz Global Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.4%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.7% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 8.3%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Hertz Global Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Hertz Global Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Hertz Global Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hertz Global Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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