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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Riot Platforms, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RIOT) 28% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 8 18:06

Riot Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIOT) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 20% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, Riot Platforms may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.7x and even P/S lower than 1.9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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NasdaqCM:RIOT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Riot Platforms Has Been Performing

Riot Platforms could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Riot Platforms.

How Is Riot Platforms' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Riot Platforms' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.2% gain to the company's revenues. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were fairly tame in comparison. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 122% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Riot Platforms' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Riot Platforms' P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Riot Platforms' P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look into Riot Platforms shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Riot Platforms has 5 warning signs (and 3 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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