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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By GDS Holdings Limited's (NASDAQ:GDS) 29% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 6 22:18

Despite an already strong run, GDS Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GDS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 103% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider GDS Holdings as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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NasdaqGM:GDS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 6th 2024

How GDS Holdings Has Been Performing

Recent revenue growth for GDS Holdings has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on GDS Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is GDS Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

GDS Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.1% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 57% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why GDS Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does GDS Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

GDS Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of GDS Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with GDS Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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