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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By RumbleOn, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RMBL) 34% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 6 21:42

RumbleOn, Inc. (NASDAQ:RMBL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think RumbleOn's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NasdaqCM:RMBL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 6th 2024

How RumbleOn Has Been Performing

RumbleOn could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on RumbleOn.

How Is RumbleOn's Revenue Growth Trending?

RumbleOn's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.5%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 181% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.3% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 5.8% per annum, which is not materially different.

With this information, we can see why RumbleOn is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

RumbleOn appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at RumbleOn's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for RumbleOn (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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