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Is Replimune Group (NASDAQ:REPL) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 2 21:31

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Replimune Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:REPL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Replimune Group's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Replimune Group had US$45.2m of debt, up from US$28.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has US$469.1m in cash, leading to a US$423.9m net cash position.

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NasdaqGS:REPL Debt to Equity History October 2nd 2024

How Healthy Is Replimune Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Replimune Group had liabilities of US$35.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$72.8m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$469.1m and US$4.93m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has US$365.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that Replimune Group has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Replimune Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Replimune Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Since Replimune Group doesn't have significant operating revenue, shareholders may be hoping it comes up with a great new product, before it runs out of money.

So How Risky Is Replimune Group?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Replimune Group lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$193m of cash and made a loss of US$220m. However, it has net cash of US$423.9m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Replimune Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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