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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MPWR) Shares

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 28 01:30

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 24.3x Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPWR) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Semiconductor companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 1.7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:MPWR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

What Does Monolithic Power Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?

Monolithic Power Systems could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Monolithic Power Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Monolithic Power Systems?

Monolithic Power Systems' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 2.5%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 82% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 25% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Monolithic Power Systems' P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What Does Monolithic Power Systems' P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Analysts are forecasting Monolithic Power Systems' revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Monolithic Power Systems has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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