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There's No Escaping MaxLinear, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MXL) Muted Revenues Despite A 29% Share Price Rise

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 27 18:39

MaxLinear, Inc. (NASDAQ:MXL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 32% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, MaxLinear may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGS:MXL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

How MaxLinear Has Been Performing

MaxLinear hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MaxLinear will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is MaxLinear's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as MaxLinear's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 56% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 42% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.0% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 25% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that MaxLinear's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On MaxLinear's P/S

Despite MaxLinear's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As expected, our analysis of MaxLinear's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with MaxLinear (including 1 which can't be ignored).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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