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Swelling Losses Haven't Held Back Gains for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX) Shareholders Since They're up 185% Over 5 Years

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 25 19:41

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. One great example is BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:BCRX) which saw its share price drive 185% higher over five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 23% gain in the last three months.

In light of the stock dropping 3.7% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last 5 years BioCryst Pharmaceuticals saw its revenue grow at 49% per year. That's well above most pre-profit companies. So it's not entirely surprising that the share price reflected this performance by increasing at a rate of 23% per year, in that time. This suggests the market has well and truly recognized the progress the business has made. To our minds that makes BioCryst Pharmaceuticals worth investigating - it may have its best days ahead.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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NasdaqGS:BCRX Earnings and Revenue Growth September 25th 2024

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think BioCryst Pharmaceuticals will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

A Different Perspective

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals shareholders are up 3.8% for the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 23% per year for five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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