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The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From AMC Networks Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMCX) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 25 18:37

AMC Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:AMCX) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 29% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, AMC Networks' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Media industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.9x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGS:AMCX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2024

How AMC Networks Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, AMC Networks' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AMC Networks will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For AMC Networks?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like AMC Networks' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 12% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 2.5% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.0% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that AMC Networks' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

AMC Networks' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Media companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that AMC Networks maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, AMC Networks' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for AMC Networks (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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