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Getting In Cheap On Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) Is Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 24 18:06

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.3x Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Comfort Systems USA certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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NYSE:FIX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 24th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Comfort Systems USA.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Comfort Systems USA's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 76% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 187% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 10% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Comfort Systems USA's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Comfort Systems USA's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Comfort Systems USA's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Comfort Systems USA has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Comfort Systems USA. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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