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Institutional Investors Are Shopify Inc.'s (NYSE:SHOP) Biggest Bettors and Were Rewarded After Last Week's US$6.6b Market Cap Gain

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 23 21:39

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Shopify's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • 47% of the business is held by the top 25 shareholders
  • Recent sales by insiders

Every investor in Shopify Inc. (NYSE:SHOP) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 65% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And things are looking up for institutional investors after the company gained US$6.6b in market cap last week. The one-year return on investment is currently 47% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Shopify.

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NYSE:SHOP Ownership Breakdown September 23rd 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Shopify?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Shopify already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Shopify, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

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NYSE:SHOP Earnings and Revenue Growth September 23rd 2024

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Shopify. Capital Research and Management Company is currently the company's largest shareholder with 8.8% of shares outstanding. With 6.2% and 4.3% of the shares outstanding respectively, Tobias Lütke and Baillie Gifford & Co. are the second and third largest shareholders. Tobias Lütke, who is the second-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Chief Executive Officer.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Shopify

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

We can report that insiders do own shares in Shopify Inc.. The insiders have a meaningful stake worth US$6.4b. we sometimes take an interest in whether they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 29% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Shopify better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shopify you should know about.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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