There wouldn't be many who think Freedom Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:FRHC) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 18x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Freedom Holding certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Freedom Holding's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 56% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 120% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Freedom Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Freedom Holding revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Freedom Holding that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Freedom Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
