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Altair Engineering Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALTR) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 20 21:21

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.9x Altair Engineering Inc. (NASDAQ:ALTR) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 1.7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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NasdaqGS:ALTR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 20th 2024

How Altair Engineering Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Altair Engineering as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Altair Engineering will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Altair Engineering's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 23% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.9% as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that Altair Engineering's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It comes as a surprise to see Altair Engineering trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Altair Engineering you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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