Matters:
The company released its 2024 mid-year report. In the first half of the year, the company achieved revenue/net profit attributable to mothers/net profit excluding non-return to mother of 0.71/0.14/0.14 billion yuan, -0.9%/-4.5%/-4.0% year-on-year. In the second quarter of a single quarter, the company achieved revenue/net profit attributable to mothers/net profit excluding non-attributable net profit of 0.42/0.09/0.09 billion yuan, -5.0%/-13.7%/-13.3% year-on-year.
Commentary:
Refined channel operation, integrated development of online and offline. 1) By product, 24H1's smart home/clothes rack products achieved revenue of 0.6/0.09 billion yuan respectively, accounting for 87%/12% of the main business revenue. 2) By channel, the company adheres to omni-channel operation, focuses on cultivating new categories online, and strengthens the professional intelligent image of smart clothes dryers through technology and home bloggers. The company continued to rank first in sales in the industry during the 618 promotion. The company's e-commerce channel achieved revenue of 0.45 billion yuan in the first half of the year. Through “pioneering the new frontier” and “building a benchmark retail city”, offline channels accurately attracted investment and accelerated channel decline; at the same time, the layout of new channels such as home appliance channels, JD Wanshang, and new retail was deepened to deeply empower dealers and improve the quality of terminal retail operations; in the first half of the year, the company's offline channels achieved revenue of 0.24 billion yuan. Looking forward to the future, the company will focus on improving the quality of offline terminals and single stores, explore the potential of emerging e-commerce online, and continue to improve the omni-channel layout.
Profitability continues to increase, and the increase in Q2 fees dragged down profit margins. In 24Q2, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 56.1%, +4.7 pcts/month-on-month +4.2 pcts. The increase in gross margin was mainly due to cost savings brought about by the company's homemade components and internal management efficiency. On the cost side, the company achieved a sales/management/finance expense ratio of 24.2%/5.6%/-0.9%, compared with +6.4/+1.2/-0.8pcts. Among them, the increase in the sales expense ratio was mainly due to an increase in the company's e-commerce platform promotion expenses, advertising expenses, etc.; the increase in the management cost ratio was mainly due to an increase in employee remuneration, intermediary agency fees, and engineering repair costs. Taken together, the company's net profit margin for the second quarter was -2.1pcts to 20.9% year-on-year.
Investment suggestion: As a leading enterprise in the field of smart drying, the company is speeding up the smart door lock circuit layout and is expected to continue to build a second growth curve. Considering weak downstream demand and the company's increased cost investment, we slightly lowered our profit forecast. We expect the company to achieve net profit of 0.35/0.399/0.451 billion yuan in 24-26 (the original value was 0.395/0.467/0.549 billion yuan in 24-26), and the PE corresponding to the current stock price is 13/12/10X, respectively; referring to the relative valuation method, the corresponding target price is 14.73 yuan for 24-26, maintaining the “strong push” rating.
Risk warning: Prices of raw materials have risen sharply, demand for home furnishings falls short of expectations, real estate sales fall short of expectations, etc.