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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Alight, Inc. (NYSE:ALIT)

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 18 20:29

It's not a stretch to say that Alight, Inc.'s (NYSE:ALIT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Professional Services industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NYSE:ALIT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 18th 2024

What Does Alight's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Alight has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Alight will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Alight?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Alight's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 22% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 29% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 6.2% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we find it concerning that Alight is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Alight's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

While Alight's P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Alight with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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