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节后需求端减量,届时猪价将止涨转跌

After the holiday, the demand will decrease, and the pig price will stop rising and turn downward.

Gelonghui Finance ·  Sep 18 10:10

Gelonghui on September 18th | According to the joint release by the National Development and Reform Commission's Price Monitoring Center and Zhuochuang News, as of the week of September 11th, the national pig-feed price ratio was 6.37, a 1.09% decrease from the previous week. Based on current prices and cost estimates, the average profit per head of hog farming in the future piglet fattening model is 554.40 yuan. In the early part of the week, the enthusiasm of farms to sell pigs gradually recovered, the increase in pig sources was significant, while there was no obvious improvement in demand, leading to a slight decrease in pig prices due to oversupply; in the later part of the week, some farming areas sold pigs at a low price, leading to reduced volume, coupled with the approaching Mid-Autumn Festival, downstream markets began to increase stocking, reducing supply and increasing demand, stabilizing pig prices. This week, influenced by the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday effect, demand increased, supporting a short-term strong trend in pig prices, but post-holiday demand will decrease, farming supply will increase, and at that time, pig prices will stop rising and turn downward.

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