FUTU Morning Post

Futu Morning Post | Senators jointly write to Powell, urging a 75 basis point rate cut this week; Intel to customize AI chips for amazon, with stock soaring over 11% after hours.

Futu News · Sep 17 08:19

热点要闻

沃伦等美国民主党参议员致信鲍威尔，敦促美联储本周降息75基点

金融市场对美联储本周降息50个基点的预期一再升温，但美国国会议员还呼吁要更大幅超常规降息。周一公布的信函内容显示，三名美国民主党参议员Elizabeth Warren、Sheldon Whitehouse和John Hickenlooper联名致信美联储主席鲍威尔，敦促在9月17日至18日的最新一次美联储货币政策委员会FOMC会议上决定降息75个基点。

信中这些议员称，他们近几个月一直呼吁美联储降息，实际上现在降息可能已经太迟，美联储推迟行动已经让美国经济受到威胁，联储落后于形势。本周美联储准备进行2020年以来的首次降息，目前市场预计降息50个基点的可能性为62%。

美联储“老领导”：应该来个大动作，50基点降息合理，相信鲍威尔会这么做

美联储“老领导”、前美联储三把手、前纽约联储主席杜德利周一表示，美联储在本周会议上面临一个关键决定：是温和降息25基点，还是为了遏制美国经济衰退直接降息50基点。

杜德利最新表示，他相信美联储主席鲍威尔赞成采取激进做法。鲍威尔上个月特别提到，劳动力市场的进一步走软不受欢迎，而现在就业市场似乎的确在进一步下滑。另外，货币政策在应该中性或宽松的时候却处于紧缩状态。更大幅的降息可以让美联储点阵图预测与市场预期靠拢，而25基点降息是不受经济前景支持的、让市场不快的意外。

巴克莱：若特朗普实施单边外汇干预以削弱美元，代价将过于高昂

巴克莱策略师表示，若特朗普再度入主白宫，其政府采取的任何有意削弱美元的举措都将面临巨大障碍，而单边汇率干预的代价“实在过高”。特朗普表示，强劲的美元是“重大的货币问题”以及“沉重的负担”。策略师认为，特朗普要求美联储配合并进行单边干预（通过冲销式或非冲销式出售美元）的“成本过高，不太可行”。“若按照特朗普提议的政策，美联储最终实施宽松政策，在没有出现负产出缺口的情况下进一步进行财政扩张，那么可能最终会加剧通胀，并令预期的稳定性面临风险”。

高盛交易部门：逢低买入人工智能股正当时

高盛美国定制篮子团队副总裁Faris Mourad上周四在给客户的报告中写道：“我们预计更低的利率可能会支持信息技术(IT)项目、大选后经济政策的不确定性降低、AI产品取得的切实进展将在即将举行的会议上得到展示，”自7月中旬以来，AI数据中心篮子下跌了8%，Power Up America篮子下跌了5%。

交易员预计美联储将在周三结束的会议上降息50个基点，这促使资金流出大型科技股，转向对经济敏感的板块。此外，最新财报季显示，企业的AI投入产生回报的速度不及投资者的预期。虽然这引发了一些投资者的担忧，但高盛仍然认为这是一个买入机会。

奥特曼离开OpenAI安全和安保委员会

OpenAI周一表示，其首席执行官萨姆·奥特曼(Sam Altman)将离开董事会的安全和安保委员会，该委员会现在将完全由独立的董事会成员组成。OpenAI表示，该委员会将由Zico Kolter担任主席。委员会将听取主要模型的简报，并与全体董事会一起有权推迟新模型的发布。OpenAI指出，新委员会审查了最近的o1“草莓”模型的安全性，在该公司的内部评估中，该模型被评为“中等风险”。OpenAI还表示，它正在努力采纳委员会的建议，以提高透明度和与外部团体的合作，并在越来越多的产品团队中统一其安全实践。

美股复盘

美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，道指刷新历史新高

道指刷新历史新高，投资者评估美联储本周大幅降息的可能性。截至收盘，道指涨0.55%，纳指跌幅为0.52%，标普500指数涨0.13%。

大型科技股涨跌不一，英伟达、特斯拉跌超1%，亚马逊、奈飞小幅下跌，Meta涨超1%，微软、谷歌小幅上涨，英特尔涨超6%。

英特尔和亚马逊将扩大在芯片制造方面的战略合作

$英特尔 (INTC.US)$ 首席执行官Pat Gelsinger已将 $亚马逊 (AMZN.US)$ 的AWS作为该公司制造业务的客户，这可能会给其正在美国兴建的工厂带来业务，并有助于扭转这家陷入困境的芯片制造商的颓势。据周一的声明，英特尔和AWS将在一个“为期数年、数十亿美元的框架”内共同投资一种用于人工智能计算的定制芯片。这项工作将依赖于英特尔的18A工艺，这是一种先进的芯片制造技术。声明发布后，英特尔股价在盘后一度上涨逾10%。

微软与沃达丰签订人工智能办公协议，计划回购至多600亿美元股票并提高派息

$微软 (MSFT.US)$ 宣称与沃达丰集团签署了一项大型协议，后者将在Office中使用人工智能助手，并公布了一系列新的人工智能工具，旨在帮助员工创建Excel图表、优先处理电子邮件以及相互协作。微软在周一的网络直播前发布的一篇博客文章中说，沃达丰将购买68,000个企业版助手的许可证，该助手被称为Copilots。此前的初步试验发现，使用这些助手的员工每人每周可以节省约三个小时。

此外，微软宣布最高600亿美元的股票回购计划并将季度派息从每股75美分提高到每股83美分。回购计划没有截止日期。汇总的数据显示，本轮回购计划占该公司当前市值的1.9%。消息发布后，微软盘后升逾0.5%。

苹果：预计下个月开始iOS 18将引入苹果智能功能

$苹果 (AAPL.US)$ 称，iOS 18现已推出，预计从下个月开始，iOS 18将引入苹果智能功能；vOS 18现已作为免费软件更新推出，适用于Apple TV 4K和Apple TV HD；watchOS 11将于9月16日上线。

受罢工困扰之际，波音冻结招聘以全面削减成本

$波音 (BA.US)$ 公司宣布全面削减成本，包括冻结招聘和暂停非必要员工出行，以及考虑给员工放临时的无薪假，从而保存现金，以应对逾3万名工厂工人的罢工。上周五，3万多名波音工厂工人以压倒多数投票否决了一份新合同，随后开始罢工。“我们正真诚地努力达成一项新的合同协议，以反映他们的反馈，并使运营恢复，”首席财务官Brian West周一在一份员工报告中表示。然而，我们的生意正处于困难时期。这次罢工在很大程度上危害了我们的复苏，我们必须采取必要的行动来保留现金，捍卫我们共同的未来。”

美股成交TOP20

港市前瞻

港交所9月23日起将实施恶劣天气交易

$香港交易所 (00388.HK)$ 宣布，交易所已获监管机构批准实施恶劣天气交易。恶劣天气交易将由2024年9月23日起生效。于交易所或透过交易所（包括沪深港通的北向及南向交易）进行的证券交易将在恶劣天气情况下继续维持交易。与常规交易日的情况相若，所有交易所参与者需要于恶劣天气下继续提供交易相关的服务。

美的集团香港招股公开发售部分获得5.31倍超额认购

$美的集团 (00300.HK)$ 周一在香港交易所公告称，在行使超额配售选择权前的公开发售部分获得5.31倍超额认购。国际配售部分获得8.06倍超额认购。美的集团周二将在香港挂牌上市。

今日关注

关键词：美国零售销售月率、美的集团上市

周二，经济数据方面，美国将公布8月零售销售月率。

新股方面， $美的集团 (00300.HK)$ 将于港交所上市。

牛牛晨读：

“投资的秘诀在于，当你的筹码是正确的，就要有勇气下大注。”
—— 卡尔·伊坎

编辑/Rocky

Hot news

Warren and other Democratic senators in the United States wrote to Powell, urging the Fed to cut interest rates by 75 basis points this week.

The financial markets have repeatedly heated up their expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed this week, but U.S. congressional members are calling for an even larger unconventional rate cut. The contents of the letter published on Monday show that three Democratic senators in the United States, Elizabeth Warren, Sheldon Whitehouse, and John Hickenlooper, jointly wrote to Fed Chairman Powell, urging a 75 basis point rate cut at the latest FOMC meeting of the Fed's Monetary Policy Committee on September 17-18.

In the letter, these senators stated that they have been calling for a rate cut by the Fed for several months, and in fact, a rate cut now may be too late, as the Fed's delay in action has already threatened the U.S. economy, with the Fed falling behind the situation. The Fed is preparing for its first rate cut since 2020 this week, with the current market estimating a 62% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut.

Former leaders of the Federal Reserve: A big move is needed, a 50 basis point rate cut is reasonable, and I believe Powell will do so.

Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman and former President of the New York Federal Reserve, Dudley, said on Monday that the Federal Reserve faces a crucial decision at this week's meeting: whether to make a moderate cut of 25 basis points or to directly cut by 50 basis points to curb the economic recession in the United States.

Dudley's latest statement indicates that he believes Federal Reserve Chairman Powell supports taking aggressive action. Powell specifically mentioned last month that further softening of the labor market is unwelcome, and now the employment market seems to be further declining. In addition, monetary policy is tight when it should be neutral or loose. A larger rate cut can bring the Federal Reserve's dot plot forecast closer to market expectations, while a 25 basis point rate cut is not supported by the economic outlook and is an unwelcome surprise to the market.

Barclays: If Trump implements unilateral forex intervention to weaken the US dollar, the cost will be too high.

Barclays strategist said that if Trump takes office again, any measures taken by his government to intentionally weaken the US dollar will face significant obstacles, and the cost of unilateral exchange rate intervention is "too high." Trump said that a strong US dollar is a "major monetary issue" and a "heavy burden." The strategist believes that Trump's request for the Fed to cooperate and carry out unilateral intervention (selling US dollars through offsetting or non-offsetting transactions) is "too costly and not feasible." "If the policy proposed by Trump is followed, the Fed will eventually implement loose monetary policy and further fiscal expansion without a negative output gap, which may ultimately exacerbate inflation and pose risks to expected stability."

Goldman Sachs trading department: Buying artificial intelligence stocks on dips is timely.

Faris Mourad, Vice President of Goldman Sachs' US Customized Basket Team, wrote in a report to clients last Thursday: "We expect lower interest rates to support information technology (IT) projects, reduce uncertainty in economic policies after the elections, and demonstrate tangible progress achieved by AI products at the upcoming meeting." Since mid-July, the AI Data Center Basket has fallen by 8%, and the Power Up America Basket has fallen by 5%.

Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the meeting ending on Wednesday, prompting funds to flow out of large-cap technology stocks and into economically sensitive sectors. In addition, the latest earnings season has shown that the speed at which companies' investments in AI generate returns is slower than investors' expectations. Although this has raised some concerns among investors, Goldman Sachs still sees it as a buying opportunity.

Ultraman leaves OpenAI Security and Safety Committee.

OpenAI announced on Monday that its CEO, Sam Altman, will leave the board's Security and Safety Committee, which will now be composed entirely of independent board members. OpenAI stated that the committee will be chaired by Zico Kolter. The committee will receive briefings on major models and have the authority, in conjunction with the full board, to delay the release of new models. OpenAI noted that the new committee has reviewed the safety of its recent o1 "Strawberry" model, which was assessed as "medium risk" in the company's internal evaluation. OpenAI also stated that it is working to adopt the committee's recommendations to increase transparency and collaboration with external groups, and to standardize its safety practices across more product teams.

Gamestop's surge has dramatically narrowed, with the trading platform considering unplugging the internet of US retail investors.

US stocks closed with mixed gains and losses, with the Dow hitting a new all-time high.

道指刷新历史新高，投资者评估美联储本周大幅降息的可能性。截至收盘，道指涨0.55%，纳指跌幅为0.52%，标普500指数涨0.13%。

大型科技股涨跌不一，英伟达、特斯拉跌超1%，亚马逊、奈飞小幅下跌，Meta涨超1%，微软、谷歌小幅上涨，英特尔涨超6%。

英特尔和亚马逊将扩大在芯片制造方面的战略合作

$Intel (INTC.US)$ 首席执行官Pat Gelsinger已将 $Amazon (AMZN.US)$ 的AWS作为该公司制造业务的客户，这可能会给其正在美国兴建的工厂带来业务，并有助于扭转这家陷入困境的芯片制造商的颓势。据周一的声明，英特尔和AWS将在一个“为期数年、数十亿美元的框架”内共同投资一种用于人工智能计算的定制芯片。这项工作将依赖于英特尔的18A工艺，这是一种先进的芯片制造技术。声明发布后，英特尔股价在盘后一度上涨逾10%。

微软与沃达丰签订人工智能办公协议，计划回购至多60 billion美元股票并提高派息

$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ Claimed to have signed a large-scale agreement with Vodafone Group to use artificial intelligence assistants in Office and announced a series of new AI tools aimed at helping employees create Excel charts, prioritize email, and collaborate. In a blog post released before Monday's live webcast, Microsoft said Vodafone will purchase 68,000 enterprise edition assistant licenses called Copilots. Preliminary trials found that employees using these assistants could save about three hours per person per week.

In addition, Microsoft announced a stock buyback plan of up to $60 billion and raised its quarterly dividend from 75 cents per share to 83 cents per share. There is no deadline for the buyback plan. Summarized data shows that this round of buybacks accounts for 1.9% of the company's current market cap. After the announcement, Microsoft's stock rose more than 0.5% after hours.

Apple: Expected to introduce Apple smart features in iOS 18 next month.

$Apple (AAPL.US)$ Stated that iOS 18 has been launched, and it is expected that Apple smart features will be introduced in iOS 18 starting next month; vOS 18 has now been released as a free software update for Apple TV 4K and Apple TV HD; watchOS 11 will be launched on September 16th.

Amid strike troubles, Boeing freezes hiring to cut costs across the board.

$Boeing (BA.US)$ The company has announced a comprehensive cost reduction plan, including freezing recruitment and suspending non-essential employee travel, as well as considering placing employees on temporary unpaid leave to preserve cash in response to the strike by over 0.03 million factory workers. Last Friday, a majority of over 0.03 million Boeing factory workers voted against a new contract and subsequently went on strike. "We are sincerely working to reach a new contract agreement that reflects their feedback and get operations back on track," CFO Brian West said in an employee report on Monday. However, our business is facing challenging times. This strike has significantly impacted our recovery, and we must take necessary actions to preserve cash and defend our shared future.

Top 20 US stock transactions

BeiShui crazily bought China Mobile for nearly HKD 1.8 billion and sold Tencent for about HKD 200 million. On Monday (June 3rd), Southbound funds net purchased HKD 3.4 billion of Hong Kong stocks.

The Hong Kong Stock Exchange will implement adverse weather trading measures starting from September 23rd.

$HKEX (00388.HK)$ Announced that the exchange has obtained regulatory approval to implement weather-related trading. Weather-related trading will take effect from September 23, 2024. Securities trading carried out on the exchange or through the exchange (including the northbound and southbound trading of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect) will continue to be maintained in adverse weather conditions. Similar to regular trading days, all exchange participants are required to continue to provide trading-related services in adverse weather conditions.

The Hong Kong public offering of Midea Group Co., Ltd. has received 5.31 times oversubscription.

$MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$ On Monday, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange announced that the public offering before exercising the overallotment option was oversubscribed by 5.31 times. The international placement portion was oversubscribed by 8.06 times. Midea Group will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Tuesday.

The company's overall sales volume in 2023 was 18,000 kiloliters, with a year-on-year increase of 28.10%, indicating significant growth. In terms of product structure, the operating income of products worth 10-30 billion yuan were 401/1288/60 million yuan respectively.

Keywords: USA Retail Sales MoM, Midea Group Co., Ltd IPO

On Tuesday, in terms of economic data, the USA will release the retail sales MoM for August.

In terms of new stocks, $MIDEA GROUP (00300.HK)$ Will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

Futubull Morning News:

"The secret of investment lies in having the courage to go all in when your chips are right."
― Carl Icahn

Editor/Rocky

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