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Is Surgery Partners (NASDAQ:SGRY) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 16 20:07

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Surgery Partners, Inc. (NASDAQ:SGRY) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Surgery Partners's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Surgery Partners had US$2.43b of debt, up from US$2.07b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$253.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.18b.

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NasdaqGS:SGRY Debt to Equity History September 16th 2024

A Look At Surgery Partners' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Surgery Partners had liabilities of US$551.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$253.7m and US$523.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.09b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$3.92b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Surgery Partners' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Surgery Partners's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.5, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. On a slightly more positive note, Surgery Partners grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Surgery Partners can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Surgery Partners's free cash flow amounted to 31% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Both Surgery Partners's interest cover and its net debt to EBITDA were discouraging. At least its EBIT growth rate gives us reason to be optimistic. It's also worth noting that Surgery Partners is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Surgery Partners's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. In light of our reservations about the company's balance sheet, it seems sensible to check if insiders have been selling shares recently.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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