Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE:TPH), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The recent share price gains has brought the company back closer to its yearly peak. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let's examine Tri Pointe Homes's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.
What's The Opportunity In Tri Pointe Homes?
Great news for investors – Tri Pointe Homes is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. we find that Tri Pointe Homes's ratio of 9.81x is below its peer average of 12.46x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Consumer Durables industry. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because Tri Pointe Homes's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What does the future of Tri Pointe Homes look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Tri Pointe Homes, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 9.8%, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn't appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Even though growth is relatively muted, since TPH is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, it may be a great time to increase your holdings in the stock. However, there are also other factors such as capital structure to consider, which could explain the current price multiple.
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on TPH for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its future profit outlook isn't fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it's not too late to buy TPH. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed investment decision.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Tri Pointe Homes and you'll want to know about this.
If you are no longer interested in Tri Pointe Homes, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
