When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (NYSE:AEO) as an attractive investment with its 15.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, American Eagle Outfitters has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as American Eagle Outfitters' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 20% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 22% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 47% during the coming year according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that American Eagle Outfitters' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of American Eagle Outfitters' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for American Eagle Outfitters that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
