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Even With A 25% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Funko, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FNKO) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 14 20:54

Funko, Inc. (NASDAQ:FNKO) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 55% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Funko's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Leisure industry is similar at about 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NasdaqGS:FNKO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 14th 2024

What Does Funko's Recent Performance Look Like?

Funko has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to begin matching the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S from declining. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Funko's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Funko's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 10%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 27% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth will show minor resilience over the next year growing only by 3.9%. While this isn't a particularly impressive figure, it should be noted that the the industry is expected to decline by 1.5%.

Despite the marginal growth, we find it odd that Funko is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It looks like most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve positive future growth in the face of a shrinking broader industry.

What Does Funko's P/S Mean For Investors?

Funko appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Funko currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its growth forecasts are potentially beating a struggling industry. Given the glowing revenue forecasts, we can only assume potential risks are what might be capping the P/S ratio at its current levels. The market could be pricing in the event that tough industry conditions will impact future revenues. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the company's current prospects should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Funko that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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