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Graphic Packaging Holding Company's (NYSE:GPK) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 13 21:31

Graphic Packaging Holding Company's (NYSE:GPK) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Graphic Packaging Holding certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

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NYSE:GPK Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 13th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Graphic Packaging Holding.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Graphic Packaging Holding would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 2.5% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 205% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 10% per year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Graphic Packaging Holding's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Graphic Packaging Holding's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Graphic Packaging Holding currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Graphic Packaging Holding has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Graphic Packaging Holding. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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