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The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:THG) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 12 19:14

There wouldn't be many who think The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:THG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Insurance industry in the United States is similar at about 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NYSE:THG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 12th 2024

What Does Hanover Insurance Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Hanover Insurance Group could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hanover Insurance Group.

How Is Hanover Insurance Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Hanover Insurance Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.9% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 20% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.5% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 4.8%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Hanover Insurance Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Hanover Insurance Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Hanover Insurance Group's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Hanover Insurance Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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