When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (NYSE:MLM) as an attractive investment with its 15.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been pleasing for Martin Marietta Materials as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
How Is Martin Marietta Materials' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Martin Marietta Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 116%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 173% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 9.7% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10% per year.
With this information, we are not surprised that Martin Marietta Materials is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Martin Marietta Materials' P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Martin Marietta Materials' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Martin Marietta Materials has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Martin Marietta Materials, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
