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紫光股份(000938):业绩维持稳健增长 积极推进全栈智算

Ziguang Co., Ltd. (000938): Maintaining steady growth in performance and actively promoting full-stack intelligent computing

長江證券 ·  Sep 10

Description of the event

Recently, the company announced its 2024 semi-annual report. In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 37.951 billion yuan, an increase of 5.29% year on year; net profit to mother was 1 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.13% year on year, after deducting 0.894 billion yuan of non-net profit, an increase of 5.78% year on year.

Incident comments

24H1's performance improved steadily, and Xinhuasan's international business grew brilliantly: 24H1 achieved revenue of 26.428 billion yuan, an increase of 5.75% over the previous year, and achieved a basic flat net profit of 1.82 billion yuan. Among them: 1) Domestic government and enterprise revenue was 20.212 billion yuan, an increase of 8.31% over the previous year. With full-stack digital solutions, Xinhua 3 helped many central state-owned enterprises build pioneering and innovative digital applications. 2) The international business achieved revenue of 1.198 billion yuan, an increase of 9.51% year on year, and revenue from H3C brand products and services of 0.416 billion yuan, an increase of 61.22% year on year. In the first half of 2024, Xinhua 3 continued to accelerate the depth and breadth of overseas market coverage, and the scale of its own brand products and services maintained rapid growth. 3) The domestic operator business achieved revenue of 5.019 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.14%, mainly due to the pace of recruitment. In terms of other subsidiaries, 1) Ziguangyun: 24H1's revenue was 0.573 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.91%, and net profit to mother was 0.132 billion yuan.

2) Ziguang Digital: 24H1's revenue was 10.54 billion yuan, up 5.38% year on year, and net profit to mother was 0.124 billion yuan. 3) Ziguang Software: 24H1's revenue was 1.316 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.78%, and net profit loss to mother was 0.508 million yuan.

Profitability declined slightly, and the results of cost reduction and efficiency were remarkable: by product, 24H1's ICT infrastructure and services achieved a gross profit margin of 24.37%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.06 pct; IT product distribution and supply chain services achieved a gross profit margin of 5.82%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.64 pct. The gross margin fluctuated slightly due to changes in revenue structure and product structure. 24H1's sales expense rate/management expense rate/R&D expense rate/financial expense ratio were 4.9%/1.1%/5.6%/0.7%, respectively, compared with -1.0pct/-0.2pct/-1.5pct/-1.0pct. The company continuously optimizes the organizational structure, improves operational efficiency, and has achieved remarkable results in cost management.

It has strong competitiveness in the ICT equipment field by firmly building computing power and connecting “double cornerstone” full-stack capabilities. 24H1 launched a full-stack, full-scale “Lingxi” intelligent computing solution, continued to upgrade technology and product innovation, promote the expansion of full-stack products and solutions, and launched innovative products such as Aofei Computing Platform 3.0, G7 series modular heterogeneous computing power servers, and S12500 AI series cluster switches. 24Q1 continues to lead the industry in market share of many switch products and maintains strong competitiveness. The acquisition of the three shares in Xinhua is progressing smoothly. The settlement is expected to be completed in an orderly manner, and it is expected that it will lead to increased profits, and the development prospects are worth looking forward to. In the second half of 2024, the company will continue to deepen AI applications, fully embed AI in product development processes; promote the “AI for ALL” strategy to support customers' digital transformation and intelligent upgrading; give full play to the company's core advantages in the field of computing power and connectivity, so that “computing power × connectivity” can fully amplify the value of intelligent computing resources.

Profit forecast and investment advice: 24H1's performance has achieved steady growth, and many switch products continue to lead the market share.

Gross margin declined slightly year-on-year, and the results of cost reduction and efficiency were remarkable. Profitability improvements can be expected in the second half of the year. The “AI in All” strategy continues to gain strength, and the overseas business performance is impressive. The acquisition of H3C is progressing smoothly, and it is expected that it will continue to benefit from the wave of computing power. Without considering the impact of the acquisition of the remaining shares of Xinhua 3, the company's net profit from 2024-2026 is estimated to be 2.425 billion yuan, 2.87 billion yuan, and 3.284 billion yuan, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 18%, and 14%, corresponding to PE 22 times, 19 times, and 16 times, maintaining a “buy” rating, and is highly recommended.

Risk warning

1. The digital transformation of the industry fell short of expectations;

2. The acquisition progress of Xinhua's three shares fell short of expectations.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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