It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Investors in Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 36%. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 21%. The silver lining (for longer term investors) is that the stock is still 2.5% higher than it was three years ago. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 27% in the last 90 days.
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Unhappily, Lamb Weston Holdings had to report a 28% decline in EPS over the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 36% share price fall. Unsurprisingly, given the lack of EPS growth, the market seems to be more cautious about the stock.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
![big](https://newsfile.futunn.com/public/NN-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240909/0-deacaa7f6092a09d39a11dd449e03cfb-0-2d1733e7ff9126e8c123769580d4d6e0.png/big)
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. This free interactive report on Lamb Weston Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 21% in the last year, Lamb Weston Holdings shareholders lost 35% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Lamb Weston Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Lamb Weston Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Lamb Weston Holdings is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.