The latest opinion poll shows that Trump has a support rate of 48%, only one percentage point higher than Harris (47%), and this difference is within the margin of error of the 3 percentage points in the survey. This means that they both have the possibility of winning the election.
According to the New York Times and the Siena College national opinion poll, Donald Trump, the Republican presidential candidate, and his Democratic opponent Kamala Harris are still evenly matched in this final stage, and it is difficult to say who will win.
The latest opinion poll released on Sunday shows that Trump has a support rate of 48%, only one percentage point higher than Harris (47%), and this difference is within the margin of error of the 3 percentage points in the survey. This means that they both have the possibility of winning the election.
Although Trump's campaign experienced a relatively difficult period during the weeks when Biden announced his withdrawal and Harris just announced taking over, the latest opinion polls show that his core supporters have not wavered.
The opinion polls clearly show that voters feel they need to know more about Harris, while their views on Trump are generally fixed. In the survey, 28% of potential voters said they needed more information about the Democratic candidate, while only 9% had the same view of Trump.
The opinion polls show that the presidential debate scheduled for Tuesday (October 10) may be a critical moment.
Harris will have the opportunity to provide more details about her planned policies in the 90-minute debate with Trump. The competition is so evenly matched that even a slight improvement will be significant for any candidate.
Since Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate this summer, she has been vigorously promoting her campaign, but she has also never appeared unprepared and has reduced the number of media interviews to a minimum.
In general, according to the national average polls tracked by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris has a support rate of 49.4%, while Trump has a support rate of 45.8%.
Battle for swing states
A new poll in Michigan shows that Trump's lead over Harris has been greatly reduced.
According to a statewide poll conducted by EPIC MRA from August 23-26, Trump has a support rate of 46%, only one percentage point higher than Harris's 45%. In addition, respondents had a favorability rating of 45% for the Republican presidential candidate and 46% for Harris.
Another media poll shows that Harris is ahead of Trump among potential voters in Wisconsin and Michigan, while Trump has an advantage in Arizona. In Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, the two candidates are evenly matched, with Pennsylvania being widely seen as a key battleground due to its large number of electoral votes.
In each state, about 15% of potential voters say they have not made their final decision. This suggests that with nine weeks left until election day, attention to the campaign is increasing and opinions on the candidates may change, especially in these states where the campaign has reached its peak.
In Wisconsin, Harris has the support of 50% of voters, while Trump has 44%; in Michigan, Harris has a support rate of 48% compared to Trump's 43%. In Arizona, Trump has a support rate of 49% while Harris has 44%.
Furthermore, in Georgia and Nevada, 48% of voters lean towards Harris, while 47% lean towards Trump; in Pennsylvania, the situation is evenly split with each candidate having a support rate of 47%.
Editor / jayden