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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Five9, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FIVN) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 33%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 7 20:17

Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 58% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Five9's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.4x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGM:FIVN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 7th 2024

What Does Five9's Recent Performance Look Like?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Five9's and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Five9 will be hoping that this isn't the case.

Keen to find out how analysts think Five9's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Five9's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 86% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 19% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Five9's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Five9's P/S?

Five9's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Five9 maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Five9, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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