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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By GitLab Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GTLB) 27% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 5 19:20

The GitLab Inc. (NASDAQ:GTLB) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 8.7% isn't as impressive.

After such a large jump in price, GitLab may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.1x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 1.7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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NasdaqGS:GTLB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024

What Does GitLab's Recent Performance Look Like?

GitLab certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on GitLab will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For GitLab?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as GitLab's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 239% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 23% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why GitLab's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

GitLab's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that GitLab maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Software industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for GitLab that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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