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Is Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ:ICHR) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 4 22:11

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (NASDAQ:ICHR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

How Much Debt Does Ichor Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ichor Holdings had US$130.2m of debt in June 2024, down from US$292.2m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$114.3m, its net debt is less, at about US$15.8m.

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NasdaqGS:ICHR Debt to Equity History September 4th 2024

How Healthy Is Ichor Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ichor Holdings had liabilities of US$98.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$154.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$114.3m as well as receivables valued at US$65.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$73.2m.

Of course, Ichor Holdings has a market capitalization of US$1.04b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ichor Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Ichor Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$805m, which is a fall of 25%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Ichor Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$19m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of US$36m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ichor Holdings you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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