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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:BBAI) Market Cap Dropped US$63m Last Week; Private Equity Firms Bore the Brunt

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 4 20:37

Key Insights

  • BigBear.ai Holdings' significant private equity firms ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 58% ownership
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

Every investor in BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 33% stake, private equity firms possess the maximum shares in the company. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And last week, private equity firms endured the biggest losses as the stock fell by 15%.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about BigBear.ai Holdings.

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NYSE:BBAI Ownership Breakdown September 4th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About BigBear.ai Holdings?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that BigBear.ai Holdings does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see BigBear.ai Holdings' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

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NYSE:BBAI Earnings and Revenue Growth September 4th 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in BigBear.ai Holdings. The company's largest shareholder is AE Industrial Partners, LP, with ownership of 33%. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 26% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 2.6% by the third-largest shareholder. Additionally, the company's CEO Amanda Long directly holds 1.2% of the total shares outstanding.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 58% stake.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of BigBear.ai Holdings

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own some shares in BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.. In their own names, insiders own US$8.6m worth of stock in the US$398m company. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 31% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Equity Ownership

Private equity firms hold a 33% stake in BigBear.ai Holdings. This suggests they can be influential in key policy decisions. Sometimes we see private equity stick around for the long term, but generally speaking they have a shorter investment horizon and -- as the name suggests -- don't invest in public companies much. After some time they may look to sell and redeploy capital elsewhere.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 26%, of the company's shares. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for BigBear.ai Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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