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Do Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' (NASDAQ:OLLI) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 4 00:21

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (NASDAQ:OLLI). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' Improving Profits

Even with very modest growth rates, a company will usually do well if it improves earnings per share (EPS) year after year. So it's easy to see why many investors focus in on EPS growth. To the delight of shareholders, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' EPS soared from US$2.41 to US$3.32, over the last year. That's a commendable gain of 38%.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. While we note Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 14% to US$2.2b. That's encouraging news for the company!

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

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NasdaqGM:OLLI Earnings and Revenue History September 3rd 2024

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' forecast profits?

Are Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Owing to the size of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a significant proportion of the company. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. To be specific, they have US$15m worth of shares. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. While their ownership only accounts for 0.3%, this is still a considerable amount at stake to encourage the business to maintain a strategy that will deliver value to shareholders.

While it's always good to see some strong conviction in the company from insiders through heavy investment, it's also important for shareholders to ask if management compensation policies are reasonable. Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. The median total compensation for CEOs of companies similar in size to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, with market caps between US$4.0b and US$12b, is around US$8.3m.

The Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings CEO received US$5.3m in compensation for the year ending February 2024. That comes in below the average for similar sized companies and seems pretty reasonable. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Should You Add Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings To Your Watchlist?

For growth investors, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings' raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. If you still have your doubts, remember too that company insiders have a considerable investment aligning themselves with the shareholders and CEO pay is quite modest compared to similarly sized companiess. This may only be a fast rundown, but the key takeaway is that Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is worth keeping an eye on. If you think Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings might suit your style as an investor, you could go straight to its annual report, or you could first check our discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation for the company.

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of companies which have demonstrated growth backed by significant insider holdings.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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