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中国中铁(601390):海外业务亮眼 资源利用和新兴业务增速快

China Railway (601390): Excellent utilization of resources in overseas business and rapid growth in emerging businesses

銀河證券 ·  Sep 2

Event: The company released its 2024 semi-annual report.

Overseas revenue is growing rapidly, and resource utilization performance is good. 2024H1, the company achieved revenue of 544.522 billion yuan, down 7.83% year on year; among them, infrastructure business revenue was 473.05 billion yuan, -6.76% year on year; design consulting revenue was 8.965 billion yuan, -4.11%; equipment manufacturing revenue was 12.024 billion yuan, -9.68% year on year; real estate development revenue was 14.48 billion yuan, -30.78% year on year; other business revenue revenue was 36.005 billion yuan, same year on year Compared to -9.68%, of which resource utilization revenue was 4.048 billion yuan, +7.19%; the company achieved net profit of 14.278 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.08%; deducted non-net profit of 13.095 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.02%. The company achieved net cash flow from operating activities of 69.332 billion yuan, an increase of 39.365 billion yuan over the same period last year. The company achieved revenue of 5,10.398/34.124 billion yuan domestic/overseas, respectively, -8.63%/+6.11% year-on-year.

The cost rate increased slightly during the period. 2024H1's gross margin was 8.84%, down 0.01pct year on year; net margin was 2.88%, down 0.22pct year on year. The cost rate for the period was 4.81%, an increase of 0.15 pct over the previous year. The sales expense ratio was 0.53%, up 0.01pct year over year. The management fee rate was 2.22%, an increase of 0.13pct over the previous year. The financial expense ratio was 0.35%, an increase of 0.05pct over the previous year. The R&D cost rate was 1.69%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.05 pct. The company's balance ratio was 76.48%, an increase of 1.79pct over the previous year.

Ongoing contracts are plentiful, and the use of emerging businesses and resources to sign new contracts is growing rapidly. With 2024H1, the company signed a new contract amount of 10,78.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.3%. It was mainly affected by factors such as the increase in the degree of urbanization, the slowing down of the process, and the pressure to resolve local debt. Among them, the domestic business achieved a new contract amount of 9,96.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.2%; the overseas business achieved a new contract amount of 82.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.3%. By industry, the company's newly signed engineering construction, emerging business, design consulting, equipment manufacturing, finance and product trade, characteristic real estate, asset management and resource utilization were 7802.2/1663.3/144.2/294.5/364.9/13.25/24.51/13.83 billion yuan, respectively, 16%/32.1%/-7.1%/-17.8%/-11.9%/-63.3%/-68.6%/17.4%, respectively. As of the reporting period, the company's outstanding contracts amounted to $6222.87 billion, an increase of 5.9% over the end of 2023.

Investment advice: The company's net profit for 2024-2026 is expected to be 33.593, 35.658, and 38.861 billion yuan, respectively, +0.33%/+6.15%/+8.98%, respectively. The corresponding P/E is 4.24/4.00/3.67x, respectively, maintaining the “recommended” rating.

Risk warning: risk of falling fixed asset investment; risk of new orders falling short of expectations; risk of accounts receivable recovery falling short of expectations.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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