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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Comstock Resources, Inc.'s (NYSE:CRK) 28% Share Price Climb

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 1 20:00

Those holding Comstock Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CRK) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Comstock Resources' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Oil and Gas industry is similar at about 1.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NYSE:CRK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 1st 2024

How Comstock Resources Has Been Performing

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Comstock Resources has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to revert back to industry averages soon, which has kept the P/S from falling. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Comstock Resources.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Comstock Resources?

Comstock Resources' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 53%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 20% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.2%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Comstock Resources' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Comstock Resources' P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Comstock Resources' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Comstock Resources currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Comstock Resources (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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