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经纬恒润(688326):优质产品陆续量产 规模效应有望逐步显现

Jingwei Hengrun (688326): The large-scale effect of mass production of high-quality products is expected to gradually show

國聯證券 ·  Aug 31

occurrences

The company released its 2024 mid-year report, achieving operating income of 2.03 billion yuan, +19.4% year-on-year; net profit to mother of -0.33 billion yuan, increasing the year-on-year loss margin. Among them, Q2 achieved revenue of 1.14 billion yuan, +18.7% year-on-year, and +27.9% month-on-month; realized net profit to mother of -0.14 billion yuan, increasing year-on-year losses and narrowing month-on-month losses.

High-quality products are being mass-produced one after another, and the automotive electronics supporting business is growing rapidly

In 2024, H1's revenue was 2.03 billion yuan, +19.4% year over year, of which Q2 revenue was 1.14 billion yuan, +18.7% year over year, and +27.9% month on month. By business, the electronic product/R&D service and solution business achieved revenue of 1.68/0.34 billion yuan respectively, +32.9%/-19.1% year-on-year, respectively. The automotive electronics supporting business picked up significantly. In 2024, H1's high-quality products such as AR-HUD/area controller/5G T-BOX were significant. According to Gaogong smart car data, the company's AR-HUD shipment market share in the first half of the year was 8.35%, ranking fifth in the industry; the company supplied the Xiaomi SU7 with products such as front, left, and right area controllers, 5G T-BOX, and electric tailgate tail controllers. The bicycle value is impressive. Delivery of the Xiaomi SU7 climbed rapidly after launch. Delivery is expected to exceed 10,000 units in June. 0.1 million vehicles. Continued release of high-quality products led to an increase in the company's revenue.

Active R&D expenses are under pressure in the short term, and the scale effect is expected to gradually show that H1 lost 0.33 billion yuan in 2024, of which Q2 lost 0.14 billion yuan, a month-on-month loss. The losses in the first half of the year were mainly due to the decline in the company's gross margin and high R&D investment intensity. The company's gross margin in the first half of the year was 22.6%, or 5.0 pct year on year. Among them, Q2 gross margin was 20.9%, -7.6pct year on year, and -3.8pct month-on-month. The decline in gross margin was mainly due to increased competition among downstream OEMs. On the cost side, the company adheres to an R&D-driven strategy. The R&D expenditure rate in the first half of the year reached 26.5%, +1.4pct year on year, of which Q2 was 21.7%, -1.3 pct year on year, and -11.0 pct month on month. The cost ratio is still at a high level, but Q2 has improved month-on-month, mainly due to an increase in revenue scale. As the company launches smart driving domain controllers/area controllers and other products one after another, the scale effect is expected to gradually become apparent.

Investment advice

Considering that the company is still in a high-intensity investment period, we expect the company's revenue for 2024-2026 to be 5.66/6.93/8.21 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.1%/22.4%/18.4%, respectively; net profit to mother is -0.13/0.13/0.37 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.3%/200.2%/182.1%, and EPS of -1.08/3.05 yuan/share, respectively. Considering that the company's core products are beginning to be released, costs are expected to steadily show a downward trend, so it is recommended to continue to pay attention.

Risk warning: Vehicle sales fall short of expectations; new product development falls short of expectations.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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