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Market Cool On Stem, Inc.'s (NYSE:STEM) Revenues Pushing Shares 52% Lower

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 31 21:01

The Stem, Inc. (NYSE:STEM) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 52%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 89% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Stem's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electrical industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.6x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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NYSE:STEM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 31st 2024

How Stem Has Been Performing

Stem hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Stem will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Stem?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Stem's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 31% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 27% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Stem's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Stem's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Electrical companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To us, it seems Stem currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Stem (2 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Stem's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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