Since taking over the Democratic Party's campaign banner at the end of July, Harris has boosted various support rates steadily, sweeping away Biden's decline. Nearly all mainstream polls indicate that Harris is currently in a leading position and has completely reversed the situation in the 'swing states.' The sudden change in the situation has further increased the importance of the September debate.
On August 30, the Financial Union News reported that recent updates of a series of U.S. presidential election polls all show that Donald Trump, who was once considered to be 'stable for victory' after the 'Pennsylvania assassination' incident, is now completely behind Harris.
Due to the starkly different policy orientations of the two candidates and the sudden change in the poll results, it means that the global economies are now in the process of shifting from 'preparing for Trump's re-election' to 'studying Harris's economic policies.'
Trump's advantage is completely gone.
The latest 'USA Today'/Suffolk University poll released on Thursday shows that Harris's overall approval rating has risen to 48%, leading Trump by 5%.
Polls show that there has been a sustained call for Harris among the Hispanic, African American, and young demographic groups. The demographic with an annual income of less than 0.02 million dollars has shown the greatest change in attitude: in June of this year, before Biden withdrew, they were more supportive of Trump (+3%), but today, they support Harris by 23% more than Trump.
When broken down, since June:
18-34 year-old voters have shifted from being more supportive of Trump (+11%) to being more supportive of Harris (+13%).
The Hispanic group, which is a key focus of the Republican Party, has transitioned from being more supportive of Trump (+2%) to being more supportive of Harris (+16%);
Traditional Democratic stronghold African American voters, 47% of whom supported Biden, have now shifted to 64% supporting Harris.
After Harris released her "opportunity economy" agenda, low-income voters' support for her reached 58%, far ahead of Trump's (35%).
Similarly, a Bloomberg/Morningstar poll released on Thursday also shows that in the 7 swing states that will decide the direction of the US presidential election, Harris is leading in at least 5 states, with the remaining two also in a neck-and-neck status with Trump. The survey shows that Harris has not only solidified her advantage areas but also significantly narrowed or reversed Trump's advantages in the weak points of the Biden administration — economic issues.
For example, in terms of "who is better at handling housing issues", Harris's support rate is now 4 percentage points higher than Trump's, previously Biden was trailing by 6 percentage points. At the same time, she has significantly reduced the inflation disadvantage by a full 11 percentage points. However, voters are more trusting of Trump on oil prices and stock market issues.
In terms of support rates in swing states, Harris leads by over 4 percentage points in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. In North Carolina, Trump led Biden by 10 percentage points in April, but now Harris is leading by two percentage points.
It is worth mentioning that Harris's choice of Walts as her running mate has received positive evaluations from swing state voters, who believe he is more suitable for the position of Vice President psychologically, while Pence has been labeled as "dangerous". Polls have also found that swing state voters more frequently regard Trump and Pence as "strange partners" rather than "Harris and Walts as opponents".
Don't forget about the fierce battle in September.
According to the statistics from the polling website 538, including polls published by Reuters, The Economist, YouGov, and The Wall Street Journal, the current statistics all show Harris in the lead. However, Biden's "debate Waterloo" at the end of June also reminds the global market that polls can change overnight.
According to the schedule, Harris and Trump will hold a face-to-face presidential debate on September 10, and theoretically another one in October. Due to Harris's infrequent interactions with the media, there are concerns about her performance in live debates.
As a rare arrangement, Harris and Waltz were interviewed on CNN on Thursday. In this overall decent interview, Harris also showed flaws in her impromptu performance, which seemed somewhat forced.
The media outlet, The New York Times, which has always been pro-Democrat, commented that Thursday's interview reminded people that Harris, in unprepared situations, sometimes gives answers that are without boundaries.
CNN, the host of this interview, also stated that Harris works hard to avoid mistakes, but she prefers to discuss grand themes and visions rather than detailed policy blueprints, while refusing to explain her stance reversal on issues like immigration and energy.
Editor/Emily