share_log

Is Weakness In HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:HPK) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 29 18:53

It is hard to get excited after looking at HighPeak Energy's (NASDAQ:HPK) recent performance, when its stock has declined 4.6% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Specifically, we decided to study HighPeak Energy's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for HighPeak Energy is:

11% = US$170m ÷ US$1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

HighPeak Energy's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

At first glance, HighPeak Energy seems to have a decent ROE. Be that as it may, the company's ROE is still quite lower than the industry average of 16%. However, we are pleased to see the impressive 61% net income growth reported by HighPeak Energy over the past five years. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio. However, not to forget, the company does have a decent ROE to begin with, just that it is lower than the industry average. So this certainly also provides some context to the high earnings growth seen by the company.

As a next step, we compared HighPeak Energy's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 41%.

1724928804274
NasdaqGM:HPK Past Earnings Growth August 29th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is HighPeak Energy fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is HighPeak Energy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

HighPeak Energy has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 7.0%, meaning that it has the remaining 93% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like HighPeak Energy is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Moreover, HighPeak Energy is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of three years of paying a dividend.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with HighPeak Energy's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
    Write a comment