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It's Down 34% But Markforged Holding Corporation (NYSE:MKFG) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 28 02:29

The Markforged Holding Corporation (NYSE:MKFG) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 34%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 80% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Markforged Holding may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NYSE:MKFG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 27th 2024

How Has Markforged Holding Performed Recently?

Markforged Holding could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Markforged Holding.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Markforged Holding?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Markforged Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.4% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.9% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 1.0%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Markforged Holding's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Markforged Holding's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Machinery companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

A look at Markforged Holding's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Markforged Holding that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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