Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Sinclair, Inc. (NASDAQ:SBGI) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Sinclair's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinclair had US$4.13b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$378.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.75b.
A Look At Sinclair's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Sinclair had liabilities of US$686.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.73b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$378.0m as well as receivables valued at US$670.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$4.36b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$929.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Sinclair would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinclair's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Sinclair made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$3.2b, which is a fall of 3.7%. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Sinclair produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$237m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized US$313m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sinclair (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.