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新洁能(605111):2Q24扣非归母净利润同环比高增 需求逐步复苏业绩持续改善

New Clean Energy (605111): Net profit deducted from non-return to mother in 2Q24, increased demand gradually, and performance continued to improve

國金證券 ·  Aug 12

Brief performance review

On August 12, 2024, the company disclosed its 2024 semi-annual report. 1H24 achieved revenue of 0.873 billion yuan, an increase of 15.16% over the same period last year; 1H24 achieved net profit to mother of 0.218 billion yuan, an increase of 47.45% year on year; and realized net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies of 0.214 billion yuan after deducting non-recurring profit and loss, an increase of 55.21% year on year.

Management analysis

The company responds positively to changes in customer needs and increases production schedules ahead of schedule to promote simultaneous growth in revenue and performance. 2Q24 achieved net profit of 0.501 billion yuan in a single quarter, +35.01% month-on-month; 2Q24 achieved net profit of 0.118 billion yuan, +42.25% year-on-year, and +17.50% month-on-month, achieving net profit of 0.131 billion yuan after deduction, +75.96% year-on-year and +56.33% month-on-month. 1H24 IGBT achieved revenue of 0.141 billion yuan, a year-on-year ratio of -22.64%, and its share of sales fell to 16.20%. The company expects PV sales to pick up further in the second half of the year as new high-current IGBT single tubes increase. 1H24's SGT-MOS achieved revenue of 0.36 billion yuan, and its sales share increased from 33.95% in the same period last year to 41.44%. According to the company's announcement, some varieties of SGT-MOS products are already in short supply. The company is actively following up on customer needs and actively expanding other emerging markets. In particular, various products used in AI computing power servers are SGT series, and sales of SGT products are expected to continue to increase in the second half of the year.

1H24 The downstream market has gradually recovered, and demand in the field of industrial control has increased significantly. According to the 24 annual report data, the company's revenue in the industrial control sector was about 0.367 billion yuan, increasing its share of revenue from 35% in 2023 to 42%. In the automotive electronics sector, 1H24 increased the number of products supplied over 50% year on year, but as the company cooperated with car companies' customer demand to reduce costs, the share of automotive electronics revenue fell slightly to 13% in the first half of the year. The photovoltaic energy storage market picked up significantly in the first half of '24.

Affected by unstable power supply factors in Africa and other regions, demand in this market is growing rapidly, forming a new growth point. The company actively develops photovoltaic companies and takes the initiative to remove IGBT inventory in response to the characteristics of fast supply and low cost in the market. In terms of energy storage, the company vigorously promoted SGT products, captured order increases from leading customers in the industry, and actively coordinated production capacity to respond to urgent deliveries to achieve revenue side growth in the second quarter.

Profit Forecasts, Valuations, and Ratings

Considering the gradual recovery of downstream demand, our net profit from Shangxiu Company in 24-26 was 0.454/0.559/0.692 billion yuan, respectively, +41%/+23%/+24%, respectively. The corresponding EPS was 1.09/1.35/1.67 yuan, respectively. The current PE valuation of the company's stock price was 28/23/18 times, maintaining a “buy” rating.

Risk warning

Downstream demand falls short of expectations; market competition intensifies; supply chain risks; the ban on restricted stocks is lifted.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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