FUTU Morning Post

Futu Morning News | US stocks get reinforcements! Goldman Sachs: Share buyback window is open; Nvidia's market cap increased by billions overnight, received shareholding from Morgan Stanley in Q2.

热点要闻

美联储调查：美国三年期通胀预期创新低，家庭开支预期疲软，失业预期意外向好

据纽约联储公布的消费者调查报告，美国7月消费者一年期和五年期通胀预期持稳，三年期通胀预期大跌，并创下2013年有数据记录以来的最低2.3%。7月家庭开支升幅预期为4.9%，为2021年4月以来最低。令人意外的是，失业预期方面是变好的，最新调查与疲软的非农数据不一致。

高盛：企业股票回购窗口期开放了，美股“援军”到场！

上周起的回购交易量翻倍大增，预计到本周末有93%的标普500成分股公司处于回购窗口期，回购至少持续到9月6日。曾准确预测了股市本轮回调的高盛技术专家Scott Rubner也称，投资者将在8月底迎来一个短暂的逢低吸纳美股窗口。

地缘局势点燃避险情绪！伊朗或在本周发动大规模袭击

当地时间周一，美国白宫国家安全委员会发言人约翰·柯比表示，伊朗及其中东代理人可能在本周发动重大袭击，美国和以色列正在加强军事部署，以应对突发情况。受此消息刺激，黄金原油短线走高。

分析师：美股回调时，科技巨头、医疗保健和高股息股成“抄底优选”

面对宏观经济和地缘政治的不确定性，分析师预计市场波动将持续，建议投资者采取防御性策略，并抓住机会买入仍受重创的股票，其中包括半导体行业、医疗保健行业、大型科技股、对利率变动敏感型股票。

美股复盘

市场聚焦以色列伊朗冲突，标普纳指勉强收涨

面对中东、俄乌和美国大选的诸多不确定性在本周集中爆发，美股三大股指在开盘短暂试图拉涨后便进入了无力抵抗的“躺平”状态，最终纳指、标普500指数以微弱幅度收涨，道指小幅下跌。

周一科技股整体表现平平，英伟达涨4.08%、AMD涨1.86%、苹果涨0.71%、微软涨0.19%、亚马逊跌0.08%、META跌0.35%、谷歌-A跌0.84%、特斯拉跌1.26%、英特尔跌1.78%。

面对本周的“中概股财报期”，纳斯达克中国金龙指数周一收涨0.61%。拼多多涨3.21%、阿里巴巴涨1.15%、京东涨0.73%、百度涨0.15%、蔚来跌0.53%、理想汽车跌1.91%、小鹏汽车跌3.35%。

英伟达隔夜涨超4%，美银称其是最佳“反弹股”之一

美国银行表示，如果半导体行业反弹， $英伟达 (NVDA.US)$ 的股票将是个不错的选择。他预计半导体行业可能会在今年第四季度出现反弹，因为届时季节性不利因素可能会消退。投资者正等待英伟达本月晚些时候的财报。

他称，通常第四季度和来年第一季度对芯片股来说要好得多，这种动态使其预测届时半导体行业将会反弹。他认为，在这种情况下，英伟达、 $博通 (AVGO.US)$ 和 $科磊 (KLAC.US)$ 的股票将是他的首选，因为这些公司是“各自终端市场中最赚钱的供应商”。隔夜英伟达涨超4%，市值一夜激增逾千亿美元。

花旗集团二季度增持苹果，头号重仓股为英伟达

13F报告显示，花旗集团二季度增持 $苹果 (AAPL.US)$ ，头号重仓股为 $英伟达 (NVDA.US)$ ，重仓股还包括 $微软 (MSFT.US)$ 、 $苹果 (AAPL.US)$ 、 $亚马逊 (AMZN.US)$ 、以及 $博通 (AVGO.US)$ 。

小摩二季度增持英伟达等巨头，狂买满帮

13F文件显示，摩根大通在二季度增持了 $英伟达 (NVDA.US)$ 逾1116万股、 $苹果 (AAPL.US)$ 2473万股，同时还增持了 $微软 (MSFT.US)$ 、 $亚马逊 (AMZN.US)$ 、 $谷歌-C (GOOG.US)$ 和 $Meta Platforms (META.US)$ 等科技巨头。中概股方面，小摩增持 $满帮 (YMM.US)$ 幅度达458%或2670万股，并大笔加仓 $爱奇艺 (IQ.US)$ 和 $哔哩哔哩 (BILI.US)$ 。

巴里克黄金涨超9%，Q2业绩超预期

加拿大矿业巨头 $巴里克黄金 (GOLD.US)$ 涨超9%。财报显示，巴里克黄金Q2营收为31.62 亿美元，同比增长11.7%，超出市场预期；净利润为3.7亿美元，同比增长25%；调整后每股收益为0.32美元，超出市场预期的0.27美元，上年同期为0.19美元。

贝壳收涨超5%，Q2营利双增+扩大股份回购

$贝壳 (BEKE.US)$ 美股收涨超5%，消息上，得益于二手房交易、房屋租赁和家装家居业务强劲扩张，贝壳二季度营利双增。公司Q2净收入同比增长19.9%，净利润达19亿元。另外，公司计划将回购授权从20亿美元增加至30亿美元，并将回购计划延长至2025年8月31日。

KeyCorp涨超9%，丰业银行溢价收购公司14.9%股份

$KeyCorp (KEY.US)$ 涨超9%，消息上，丰业银行周一在一份声明中表示，该行将以每股17.17美元的价格收购KeyCorp公司14.9%的股份，这一价格较该公司过去20个交易日的成交量加权平均价格高出 11%。公司正在考虑重组资产负债表，以缩短部分投资组合的期限。

美股成交额TOP20

港市前瞻

北水买入腾讯4亿港元，卖出中国联通超3亿港元

8月12日（周一），南下资金净买入港股43.46亿港元。

$盈富基金 (02800.HK)$、$南方恒生科技 (03033.HK)$、$腾讯控股 (00700.HK)$分别获净买入8.83亿港元、4.3亿港元、4亿港元；

$中国联通 (00762.HK)$、$中国电信 (00728.HK)$、$哔哩哔哩-W (09626.HK)$分别遭净卖出3.17亿港元、1.14亿港元、1,599万港元。

今日关注

关键词：美国PPI；马斯克采访特朗普；Sea

财经数据方面，美国7月PPI年率、美国7月NFIB小型企业信心指数将出炉。

财经事件方面，特朗普将接受马斯克的重磅采访。

财报方面， $Sea (SE.US)$ 、 $腾讯音乐 (TME.US)$ 将于美股盘前发布财报。

牛牛晨读：

降低预期，努力把它实现，知足常乐。
——查理·芒格

编辑/Somer

Hot news

Fed Survey: US three-year inflation expectations hit a new low, household spending expectations weak, and unexpectedly positive unemployment expectations.

According to the consumer survey report released by the New York Fed, the one-year and five-year inflation expectations of American consumers in July remained stable, while the three-year inflation expectations plummeted, reaching a record low of 2.3% since data recording began in 2013. The expected increase in household spending in July is 4.9%, the lowest since April 2021. Surprisingly, the unemployment outlook has improved, contradicting the weak non-farm payroll data.

Goldman Sachs: Share buyback window for companies is now open, bringing support to the US stock market!

The repurchase trading volume doubled last week, and it is expected that 93% of S&P 500 component stock companies will be in the repurchase window until the end of this week, with repurchases lasting at least until September 6. Goldman Sachs technology expert Scott Rubner, who accurately predicted the current round of stock market correction, also said that investors will have a brief opportunity to buy US stocks at a low price at the end of August.

Geopolitical tensions ignite safe-haven sentiment! Iran may launch a major attack this week.

On Monday local time, John Kirby, the spokesperson for the US White House National Security Council, said that Iran and its agents in the Middle East may launch a major attack this week, and the US and Israel are strengthening their military deployments to respond to emergencies. Stimulated by this news, gold and crude oil rose in the short term.

Analysts: Technology giants, medical care and high dividend stocks are preferred options for bottom-fishing during the correction of U.S. stocks.

Faced with macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, analysts predict that market volatility will continue. They suggest that investors adopt defensive strategies and seize opportunities to buy stocks that are still heavily impacted, including the semiconductor industry, medical care, large tech stocks, and stocks sensitive to interest rate changes.

Gamestop's surge has dramatically narrowed, with the trading platform considering unplugging the internet of US retail investors.

The market is focused on the Israel-Iran conflict, and the S&P and NASDAQ indices barely closed higher.

Faced with the many uncertainties of the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine, and the US presidential election that exploded this week, the three major US stock indexes tried to pull up briefly after opening the market but eventually entered an undisputed "lying-flat" state, with the NASDAQ and S&P 500 index closing slightly higher, and the Dow Jones slightly lower.

Overall, tech stocks performed flat on Monday, with NVIDIA up 4.08%, AMD up 1.86%, Apple up 0.71%, Microsoft up 0.19%, Amazon down 0.08%, META down 0.35%, Google-A down 0.84%, Tesla down 1.26%, and Intel down 1.78%.

In the face of this week's "China concept stock earnings season", the Nasdaq China Dragon Index rose 0.61% on Monday. PDD Holdings rose 3.21%, Alibaba rose 1.15%, JD.com rose 0.73%, Baidu rose 0.15%, NIO Inc fell 0.53%, li auto inc fell 1.91%, and Xpeng fell 3.35%.

NVIDIA rose more than 4% overnight, and Bank of America named it one of the best "rebound stocks".

Bank of America said that if the semiconductor industry rebounds, stocks like NVIDIA will be a good choice. They predict that the semiconductor industry may rebound in the fourth quarter of this year, as seasonal unfavorable factors may dissipate by then. Investors are waiting for NVIDIA's earnings report later this month. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ They said that usually, the fourth quarter and the first quarter of the coming year are much better for chip stocks, which makes them predict that the semiconductor industry will rebound then. They believe that in this case, NVIDIA and citigroup's stock will be their top picks because these companies are "the most profitable suppliers in their respective terminal markets". NVIDIA rose more than 4% overnight, with a market cap surge of over $100 billion in one night.

He said that the fourth quarter and the first quarter of next year are usually much better for chip stocks, and this dynamic leads him to predict that the semiconductor industry will rebound by then. In this case, he believes that Nvidia, $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$Asia Vets and New Energy Fund.$KLA Corp (KLAC.US)$ NVIDIA rose more than 4% overnight, and citigroup's stock is their top pick.

Citigroup increased its holdings in Apple in the second quarter, with NVIDIA as its number one heavyweight holding.

According to the 13F filing, citigroup increased its holdings in NVIDIA in the second quarter, with Apple as its number one heavyweight holding. Other major holdings include Bank of America, JP Morgan, and Intel. $Apple (AAPL.US)$ Citigroup increased its holdings in Apple in the second quarter, with NVIDIA as its number one heavyweight holding. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ According to the 13F filing, citigroup increased its holdings in NVIDIA in the second quarter, with Apple as its number one heavyweight holding. Other major holdings include Bank of America, JP Morgan, and Intel. $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$Please use your Futubull account to access the feature.$Apple (AAPL.US)$Please use your Futubull account to access the feature.$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ According to the 13F filing, citigroup increased its holdings in NVIDIA in the second quarter, with Apple as its number one heavyweight holding. Other major holdings include Bank of America, JP Morgan, and Intel. $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$.

According to the 13F filing, JP Morgan increased its holdings in NVIDIA, among others, in the second quarter and bought a full position.

According to the 13F filing, JP Morgan increased its holdings in NVIDIA in the second quarter, buying over 11.16 million shares. $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Apple (AAPL.US)$ increased holdings of 24.73 million shares and also increased holdings of $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$Please use your Futubull account to access the feature.$Amazon (AMZN.US)$Please use your Futubull account to access the feature.$Alphabet-C (GOOG.US)$Asia Vets and New Energy Fund.$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ technology giants such as Alibaba. In terms of Chinese stocks, Morgan Stanley increased its holdings of $Full Truck Alliance (YMM.US)$ by 458% or 26.7 million shares, and made a large increase of $iQIYI (IQ.US)$Asia Vets and New Energy Fund.$Bilibili (BILI.US)$.

Barrick Gold rose more than 9%, and Q2 performance exceeded expectations.

The Canadian mining giant $Barrick Gold (GOLD.US)$ The financial report shows that Barrick Gold's Q2 revenue was USD 3.162 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, which exceeded market expectations; net income was USD 370 million, a year-on-year increase of 25%; adjusted EPS was USD 0.32, which exceeded market expectations of USD 0.27 and was USD 0.19 for the same period last year.

Ke Holdings rose more than 5%, and Q2 profits doubled with an expanded stock buyback.

$KE Holdings (BEKE.US)$ US stocks rose more than 5%. In terms of news, due to strong expansion in second-hand housing transactions, house rental and home furnishings business, Ke Holdings' Q2 net income increased by 19.9% to reach CNY 1.9 billion.

KeyCorp rose more than 9%, and Bank of Nova Scotia acquired 14.9% of the company's shares at a premium.

$KeyCorp (KEY.US)$ The Bank of Nova Scotia stated on Monday that it will acquire 14.9% of KeyCorp's shares at a price of USD 17.17 per share, which is 11% higher than the weighted average price of the past 20 trading days. The company is considering restructuring its balance sheet to shorten the maturity of some investment portfolios.

If you want to play this game, you must believe in yourself and your judgment.

BeiShui crazily bought China Mobile for nearly HKD 1.8 billion and sold Tencent for about HKD 200 million. On Monday (June 3rd), Southbound funds net purchased HKD 3.4 billion of Hong Kong stocks.

northbound funds purchased HKD 0.4 billion of Tencent Holdings shares and sold over HKD 0.3 billion of China United Network Communications shares.

On Monday, August 12, southbound funds net purchased HKD 4.346 billion of Hong Kong stocks.

$TRACKER FUND OF HONG KONG (02800.HK)$,$CSOP Hang Seng TECH Index ETF (03033.HK)$,$TENCENT (00700.HK)$The net purchases were HKD 0.883 billion, HKD 0.43 billion, and HKD 0.4 billion, respectively;

$CHINA UNICOM (00762.HK)$,$CHINA TELECOM (00728.HK)$,$BILIBILI-W (09626.HK)$The net sales were HKD 0.317 billion, HKD 0.114 billion, and HKD 15.99 million, respectively.

The company's overall sales volume in 2023 was 18,000 kiloliters, with a year-on-year increase of 28.10%, indicating significant growth. In terms of product structure, the operating income of products worth 10-30 billion yuan were 401/1288/60 million yuan respectively.

Keywords: USA PPI; Musk interviewed Trump; Sea.

In terms of financial data, the annual rate of USA PPI in July and the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index for July will be released.

On the economic front, Trump will attend Musk's heavyweight interview.

In terms of financial reports, $Sea (SE.US)$Please use your Futubull account to access the feature.$Tencent Music (TME.US)$ it will be released before the US stock market opens.

Futubull Morning News:

Lower your expectations, work hard to achieve them, and contentment brings happiness.
"- Charlie Munger"

Editor/Somer

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