Core views:
The company is a core supplier of domestic hydroacoustic electronic defense equipment integrating R&D, manufacturing, system integration, sales and service of electronic defense and information equipment. Backed by China Shipbuilding Heavy Industries Group, two asset restructurings obtained assets and development capabilities related to the underwater electronic information business. The company has a stable leading position in the field of hydroacoustic electronic defense. It has scientific research and production capabilities in all fields of hydroacoustic electronic defense equipment and the entire industry chain. The products are widely used in various types of marine defense equipment such as ships. At the same time, the company accelerated the deployment of strategic emerging industries such as smart cities and satellite navigation, creating a second growth curve.
Core investment logic: (1) leading hydroacoustic electronic defense equipment, benefiting from the modernization of naval equipment and the acceleration of informatization construction, while underwater defense in new fields will be in a strategic development period for a long time; (2) Reviewing the US, the construction of underwater offensive and defensive countermeasures systems is expected to support the development of hydroacoustic electronic equipment for a long time.
At the same time, hydroacoustic equipment has the properties of “consumables”, the usage environment is poor, the frequency of use is high, maintenance is frequent, and there is a high potential replacement demand; (3) Non-hydroacoustic business applications are broad, and it is expected to benefit from the expansion of downstream industrial space. The company's non-underwater acoustic products cover specially equipped electronics and intelligent manufacturing. In fields such as electronic information, the application scenarios cover a wide range of applications. Benefiting from the expansion of downstream spaces such as new energy vehicles, phased array radars, satellite navigation, and smart cities, the company's non-hydroacoustic business is expected to achieve continuous steady growth. (4) China's underwater electronic information industry started late. Most of the participating enterprises were military research institutes and military industry groups. The company is backed by the largest comprehensive enterprise group covering the most extensive naval equipment business in China, focusing on key technology upgrades and industrial applications. It has all scientific research and production capabilities in the field of electronic defense equipment in the field of hydroacoustic electronics; it also has certain technical advantages and market positions in some fields of strategic emerging industries.
Profit forecast and investment advice: EPS is expected to be 0.48/0.70/0.99 yuan/share for 24-26, respectively. The company is expected to benefit from defense informatization, the construction of an underwater offensive and defensive counterattack system, and the expansion of downstream applications in the non-underwater sound business. Referring to the historical valuation levels of comparable companies and companies, the company will be given a PE valuation of 25 times 30 times, corresponding to a reasonable value of 20.94 yuan/share, and maintain an “gain” rating.
Risk warning: listing and delivery falling short of expectations; risk of policy adjustments; market development falling short of expectations.