FUTU Morning Post

Futu Morning Post | Crazy night in the US stock market! S&P 500 achieves its best single-day performance in nearly two years; Denying recession claims! Fed officials: US economic growth and demand remain strong.

热点要闻

创一年来最大降幅！美国上周首次申请失业救济人数23.3万人，低于预期和前值

8月8日周四，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，美国8月3日当周首次申请失业救济人数23.3万人，低于预期24万人，低于前值24.9万人。而今年大部分时间，申请失业救济人数呈上升趋势。美国首次申请失业金人数大幅下降，创一年来最大降幅，显示就业市场有所回暖。

美联储施密德：如果通胀持续处于低位，降息是合适之举

美联储施密德表示，如果通胀持续处于低位，降息是合适之举；尽管7月就业报告疲软，经济增长和需求仍强劲；美联储当前政策立场“没有那么强的限制性”；考虑到近期鼓舞人心的通胀数据，更加确信通胀处于实现目标的道路上；美联储的政策路径将由数据和经济强劲程度决定。

美联储古尔斯比：对就业市场会维持下去还是会继续恶化存疑

美联储古尔斯比表示，美联储关注市场，但市场并没有驱动FOMC的货币政策；对就业市场会维持下去还是会继续恶化存疑；需要看到的不仅仅是非农就业数据，不仅仅是一个月的数据；现在我们正在回归更正常的状态；如果过紧持续时间过长，需要关注实体经济。

摩根大通：如果美联储对放松货币政策没紧迫性，那么美股仍面临风险

摩根大通分析师Lakos-Bujas最新表示，最近美国股市的大跌冲走了一些市场中的泡沫，但如果美国经济增长继续减速，美联储还没有表现出放松货币政策的紧迫性，那么美股的相关持仓和估值仍面临风险。

特朗普和哈里斯同意于9月10日进行辩论

美国总统大选候选人特朗普和哈里斯已同意于9月10日进行由美国广播公司（ABC）举行的辩论。

市场寻求更高收益率，30年期美债拍卖再次不佳

美东时间周四，美国财政部拍卖250亿美元30年期国债。结果延续昨日10年期美债拍卖不佳的态势。本次30年期美债拍卖的得标利率为4.314%，这是今年1月以来的最低收益率，当时为4.229% ，上次7月11日的得标利率为4.405%。本次拍卖的预发行利率为4.283%，有3.1个基点的尾部利差，这是去年11月以来最大的尾部利差。

美股复盘

美股高开高收，纳指升近3%领涨三大指数

周四，美股高开高收，三大指数大幅收涨。截至收盘，道琼斯指数涨1.76%；标普500指数涨2.30%，创下2022年11月以来的最佳单日表现；纳斯达克综合指数涨2.87%，盘中一度涨超3%。

大型科技股集体走高，英伟达涨6.13%，Meta涨4.24%，特斯拉涨3.69%，谷歌C涨1.92%，亚马逊涨1.86%，苹果涨1.66%，微软涨1.07%。

“减肥药双雄”迎来爆发，礼来涨9.48%，诺和诺德涨7.50%。

热门中概股普涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨2.80%，百度涨5.52%，好未来涨4.12%，蔚来涨4.09%，拼多多涨3.66%，小鹏汽车涨3.51%，阿里巴巴涨3.19%，理想汽车涨2.60%。

苹果拟推出迄今最小Mac台式机，将配置M4芯片

$苹果 (AAPL.US)$公司计划推出一款新版Mac mini，这将是该公司迄今为止最小的台式电脑。不具名知情人士透露，新设备的尺寸远小于前一代产品，体积接近于苹果电视盒。更新版mini是未来几个月推出的几款新Mac之一。该公司正在准备让iMac台式机和MacBook Pro配备M4芯片，最早今年推出。

苹果变更APP store协议条款，允许欧洲开发者在生态系统外推广产品

美东时间8月8日周四，苹果公司宣布，为遵守欧盟《数字市场法案》，将对其应用商店政策进行重大更新。新政策将于今年秋季生效，允许欧盟地区的应用开发者在应用内推广和销售产品，而不再局限于苹果应用商店。

收涨近10%，礼来业绩大超预期，市值迫近8000亿美元

$礼来 (LLY.US)$ 收涨近10%，财报显示，今年二季度实现营收113亿美元（同比激增36%），市场预期99.2亿美元；净利润29.7亿美元（同比上升68%），调整后每股收益3.92美元，远超预期的2.60美元。由于减肥药的强势，公司今年第二次提高本财年的营收指引至454-466亿美元；全年调整后每股收益为16.10-16.60美元，此前的指引为13.50-14美元。

盘后涨超10%后转跌，Soundhound AI Q2营收增长54%但亏损扩大30%

语音AI公司$SoundHound AI (SOUN.US)$盘后涨超10%后转跌4.6%，财报显示，二季度业绩喜忧参半，营收增长放缓但强于预期，上调今年全年的营收指引，但二季度亏损扩大的严重程度超出市场预期。二季度营收同比增长放缓至54%，仍强于预期，EBITDA亏损扩大30%，扩大幅度远超预期、为一季度的十倍。

盘后涨5%，派拉蒙全球第二财季调整后持续经营每股收益超预期

$派拉蒙环球-B (PARA.US)$ 盘后涨5%，派拉蒙全球第二财季营收68.1亿美元，分析师预期72.4亿美元；第二财季调整后持续经营每股收益为0.54美元，分析师预期0.13美元；第二财季Paramount+流媒体订阅用户数6800万，分析师预期7122万；第二财季广告营收22.5亿美元，分析师预期22.4亿美元；第二财季营收包括59.8亿美元网络费用计提。

全球监管反垄断风暴持续，亚马逊对Anthropic的40亿美元投资遭英国监管审查

$亚马逊 (AMZN.US)$ 对Anthropic的40亿美元投资受英国监管机构的正式调查。英国竞争监管机构竞争与市场管理局本周四宣布，正式启动对电子商务巨头亚马逊对美国人工智能公司Anthropic数十亿美元投资的“第一阶段”调查。旨在评估该投资是否会对英国市场竞争造成不利影响。

收跌超10%，能量饮料巨头怪物饮料营收、盈利、销量未达预期

$怪物饮料 (MNST.US)$收跌超10%，第二季度业绩显示，Q2营收为19亿美元，低于预期的20.2亿美元，营收同比增速2.5%创2020年第二季度以来最慢。Q2总销量为2.1219亿箱，下滑至新冠疫情初期来的最低水平，并低于预期的2.1542亿箱。

两家AI新药公司宣布合并，缔造AI Bio最大的并购交易之一

8月8日，$Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US)$和$Exscientia (EXAI.US)$宣布两家公司已达成最终协议，将Recursion和Exscientia合并，前者是一家领先的临床阶段技术生物技术公司，能够解码生物学以实现药物发现的工业化，后者是一家技术驱动的临床阶段药物设计和开发公司，致力于更快地为患者创造更有效的药物。合并后，将成AI Bio最大的并购交易之一。

美股成交额TOP20

港市前瞻

北水再度加仓腾讯超7亿港元，抛售盈富基金近70亿港元

8月8日（周四），南下资金净卖出港股60.86亿港元。

$腾讯控股.HK$、$中国移动.HK$、$中国海洋石油.HK$分别获净买入7.33亿港元、5.19亿港元、8,808万港元；

$盈富基金.HK$、$恒生中国企业.HK$、$南方恒生科技.HK$分别遭净卖出68.37亿港元、14.86亿港元、10.12亿港元。

今日关注

关键词：中国CPI、PPI、M2货币供应年率；金斯瑞生物科技、Nikola财报

周五，经济数据方面，中国CPI、PPI、M2货币供应年率、新增人民币贷款等多项重要数据将陆续公布。

财报方面，$金斯瑞生物科技 (01548.HK)$、$Nikola (NKLA.US)$财报来袭。

牛牛晨读：

因为我把自己当成是企业经营者，所以我成为更优秀的投资人。因为我把自己当成投资人，所以我成为更优秀的企业经营者。
——巴菲特

编辑/ping

Hot news

The number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week, the largest drop in a year, was 0.233 million, lower than expected and the previous value.

On Thursday, August 8th, the US Department of Labor published data showing that 233,000 people filed for initial jobless claims in the week of August 3, lower than the expected 240,000 and lower than the previous 249,000. For most of this year, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits has been on the rise. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States has dropped significantly, marking the largest decline in a year and indicating a rebound in the job market.

Fed's Schmid: Rate cuts are appropriate if inflation persists at a low level

Fed's Schmid said that rate cuts are appropriate if inflation persists at a low level, even though the July employment report was weak; economic growth and demand remain strong; the current Fed policy stance is not so restrictive; encouraged by recent inflation data, more confident that inflation is on the path to target achievement; the Fed's policy path will be determined by data and the strength of the economy.

Fed's Bullard: Uncertainty remains as to whether the job market will continue to be maintained or deteriorate

Fed's Bullard said that the Fed is paying attention to the market, but the market is not driving FOMC's monetary policy; it is uncertain whether the job market will continue to be maintained or deteriorate; what needs to be seen is not only non-farm employment data, not only one month's data; now we are returning to a more normal state; need to pay attention to the real economy if the tightness lasts too long.

Jpmorgan: If there is no urgency for the Federal Reserve to relax monetary policy, US stocks still face risks.

According to the latest analysis by JPMorgan analyst Lakos-Bujas, the recent drop in the US stock market has burst some of the bubbles in the market. However, if the growth of the US economy continues to slow down, and the Federal Reserve has not shown any urgency to relax the monetary policy, the related positions and valuations of US stocks still face risks.

Trump and Harris have agreed to hold a debate on September 10th.

US presidential candidates Trump and Harris have agreed to a debate hosted by ABC on September 10th.

The market seeks higher yields, and the auction of 30-year US government bonds is once again weak.

On Thursday, eastern US time, the US Treasury auctioned $25 billion of 30-year Treasuries. The result continued the trend of yesterday's weak auction of 10-year US Treasuries. The bid rate for this 30-year US Treasury auction was 4.314%, the lowest yield since January of this year, when it was 4.229%, and the bid rate for July 11 was 4.405%. The pre-issuance rate for this auction was 4.283%, with a tail spread of 3.1 basis points, the largest tail spread since November of last year.

Gamestop's surge has dramatically narrowed, with the trading platform considering unplugging the internet of US retail investors.

US stocks opened high and closed high, with the NASDAQ rising nearly 3% to lead the three major indices.

On Thursday, US stocks opened high and closed high, with the three major indices rising sharply. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.76%; the S&P 500 Index rose 2.30%, marking the best single-day performance since November 2022; and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 2.87%, crossing more than 3% at one point.

Large technology stocks rose collectively, with NVIDIA up 6.13%, Meta up 4.24%, Tesla up 3.69%, Google C up 1.92%, Amazon up 1.86%, Apple up 1.66%, and Microsoft up 1.07%.

The two giants of weight-loss drugs have exploded, with Eli Lilly and Co soaring 9.48% and Novo-Nordisk A/S up 7.50%.

Popular China concept stocks are up across the board, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 2.80%, Baidu up 5.52%, Tal Education up 4.12%, Nio Inc up 4.09%, PDD Holdings up 3.66%, Xpeng up 3.51%, Alibaba up 3.19%, and Li Auto Inc up 2.60%.

Apple plans to launch its smallest Mac desktop computer to date, equipped with the M4 chip.

$Apple (AAPL.US)$The company plans to launch a new version of the Mac mini, which will be the company's smallest desktop computer to date. According to anonymous insiders, the new device will be much smaller than the previous generation and roughly the size of an Apple TV box. The updated mini is one of several new Macs expected to be released over the next few months. The company is preparing to equip iMacs and MacBook Pros with the M4 chip, which could be released as early as this year.

Apple has changed the terms of the App Store agreement, allowing European developers to promote their products outside the ecosystem.

On Thursday, August 8th, Eastern Time, Apple announced that it will make major updates to its App Store policy to comply with the EU Digital Markets Act. The new policy will take effect this autumn and will allow app developers in the EU region to promote and sell products within their apps, no longer limited to the Apple App Store.

Up nearly 10%, Lilly's performance greatly exceeded expectations, with a market capitalization approaching $800 billion.

$Eli Lilly and Co (LLY.US)$ Up nearly 10%, the financial report shows that second-quarter revenue was $11.3 billion (an increase of 36% year-on-year), exceeding market expectations of $9.92 billion; net income was $2.97 billion (an increase of 68% year-on-year), adjusted earnings per share were $3.92, far exceeding the expected $2.60. Due to the strong performance of weight-loss drugs, the company raised its revenue guidance for the fiscal year for a second time to $45.4-46.6 billion; the adjusted earnings per share for the full year will be $16.10-16.60, compared to the previous guidance of $13.50-14.

Soundhound AI's revenue growth in Q2 was 54%, but losses expanded by 30% after rising more than 10% after hours.

Voice AI company$SoundHound AI (SOUN.US)$After rising more than 10% after hours, the financial report shows that the second-quarter performance was mixed, with revenue growth slowing but better than expected, and the company raised its full-year revenue guidance. However, the severity of the second-quarter loss expansion exceeded market expectations. Second-quarter revenue increased by 54% year-on-year, still stronger than expected, and EBITDA losses expanded by 30%, ten times larger than in the first quarter.

After-hours up 5%, Paramount Global's adjusted EPS for Q2 continued operations exceeded expectations.

$Paramount Global-B (PARA.US)$ After-hours up 5%, Paramount Global's Q2 revenue was $6.81 billion, lower than analysts' expectations of $7.24 billion. Q2 adjusted EPS for continuing operations was $0.54, much higher than analysts' expectation of $0.13. Q2 Paramount+ streaming subscription users were 68 million, lower than analysts' expectation of 71.22 million. Q2 advertising revenue was $2.25 billion, which exceeded analysts' expectations of $2.24 billion. Q2 revenue includes $5.98 billion in network charges.

The global regulatory anti-monopoly storm continues, Amazon's $4 billion investment in Anthropic is under review by UK regulators.

$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ The UK regulatory agency has launched a formal investigation into Amazon's $4 billion investment in AI company Anthropic. The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) announced on Thursday that it has launched a "Phase One" investigation into the multi-billion dollar investment by the e-commerce giant into the US artificial intelligence firm. This is to assess whether the investment could have an adverse impact on competition in the UK market.

Energy drink giant Monster Beverage fell more than 10% as revenue, profits, and sales fell short of expectations.

$Monster Beverage (MNST.US)$Monster Beverage fell more than 10% as Q2 revenue came in at $1.9 billion, lower than the expected $2.02 billion, with YoY revenue growth of 2.5%, the slowest since Q2 2020. Total sales for Q2 were 0.21219 billion cases, falling to the lowest level since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic and lower than the expected 0.21542 billion cases.

Two AI drug companies announced a merger to create one of the largest AI Bio mergers.

August 8th,$Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US)$And.$Exscientia (EXAI.US)$Announced on August 8th, the two companies have reached a final agreement to merge Recursion and Exscientia. The former is a leading clinical-stage biotechnology company that is able to industrialize biological decoding to achieve drug discovery, while the latter is a technology-driven clinical-stage drug design and development company focused on creating more effective drugs for patients. After the merger, it will become one of the largest AI Bio mergers.

If you want to play this game, you must believe in yourself and your judgment.

BeiShui crazily bought China Mobile for nearly HKD 1.8 billion and sold Tencent for about HKD 200 million. On Monday (June 3rd), Southbound funds net purchased HKD 3.4 billion of Hong Kong stocks.

Beishui added over HKD 0.7 billion to Tencent and sold nearly HKD 7 billion in Tracker Fund of Hong Kong shares.

On Thursday, southbound funds sold HKD 6.086 billion of Hong Kong stocks.

$TENCENT.HK$,$CHINA MOBILE.HK$,$CNOOC.HK$Buys were respectively HKD 0.733 billion, HKD 0.519 billion and HKD 88.08 million;

$TRACKER FUND OF HONG KONG.HK$,$Hang Seng H-Share Index ETF.HK$,$CSOP Hang Seng TECH Index ETF.HK$Sells were respectively HKD 6.837 billion, HKD 1.486 billion, and HKD 1.012 billion.

The company's overall sales volume in 2023 was 18,000 kiloliters, with a year-on-year increase of 28.10%, indicating significant growth. In terms of product structure, the operating income of products worth 10-30 billion yuan were 401/1288/60 million yuan respectively.

Keywords: China CPI, PPI, M2 money supply annual rate; Genscript Bio, Nikola earnings.

On Friday, various important economic data, such as China's CPI, PPI, M2 money supply growth rate, and new RMB loans, will be released one after another.

Regarding financial reports,$GENSCRIPT BIO (01548.HK)$,$Nikola (NKLA.US)$The financial report is coming.

Futubull Morning News:

"Because I consider myself a business operator, I become a better investor. Because I consider myself an investor, I become a better business operator."
- Buffett

Editor/ping

The translation is provided by third-party software.

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