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“哈里斯交易”要来?最新民调显示哈里斯支持率已反超特朗普

Is the 'Harris Trade' coming? The latest poll shows that Harris' support rate has surpassed that of Trump.

Golden10 Data ·  Jul 31 08:43

There are also polls that show Trump is beginning to lose his lead in swing states...

According to the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, Democratic presidential candidate Harris has taken a 1-point lead over Republican Trump, narrowing the gap in the final weeks of Biden's reelection campaign. In terms of product structure, products with revenues of 10-30 billion yuan generated operating income of 401 million, 1.288 billion, and 60 million yuan, respectively, in 23 years, with a total sales volume of 18,000 kiloliters, a year-on-year increase of 28.10%, showing significant growth.

The three-day poll, which ended last Sunday, showed Harris winning support from 43% of registered voters and former President Trump receiving support from 42%, within the poll's margin of error of 3.5 percentage points. Last week's Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Harris leading with 44% to 42%.

In addition, according to the latest Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, Harris erased Trump's lead in swing states, and the voting enthusiasm of black and young voters has increased since Biden dropped out. After Biden succumbed to increasing pressure within the party and dropped out of the race, Harris solidified her position among the Democratic candidates in the past 10 days. Since then, she has received a lot of donations and support.

Overall, voters have become more positive about Harris in the past month. The poll found that 46% of voters have a positive view of her, while 51% have a negative view. In contrast, the Reuters/Ipsos poll completed on July 2 showed a positive rating of 40% and a negative rating of 57%.

Trump's positive ratings have hardly changed during this time, with 41% of registered voters in the latest poll holding a positive opinion of him and 56% holding a negative opinion.

Polls show that registered voters are more inclined to support Trump's policies on the economy, immigration, and crime, while they believe Harris has a better plan for medical care.

The survey, conducted online in English from July 26 to 28, was of 1,025 American adults, including 876 registered voters.

However, the turmoil of recent weeks has left analysts and forecasters cautious about what Harris' candidacy may mean for the November election results.

Nationwide polls measure support for political figures in the United States, but to win the presidency, it is usually necessary to rely on swing states such as Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which change the balance in the US electoral college.

Harris and her campaign team continue to look for potential running mates in private and may make a choice soon, as Harris is preparing to campaign in the fiercely contested swing states with this person next week.

The poll showed that those seeking the position have not yet established a broad national profile.

US Senator and former astronaut Mark Kelly has the highest positive rating among potential Democratic vice presidential candidates at 32%, followed by Pennsylvania Governor Shapiro, Kentucky Governor Bevin (20%), Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker (14%), and Minnesota Governor Walts (11%).

About half of the registered voters who participated in the poll said they had not heard of Kelly and were even less familiar with the others.

Current US Secretary of Transportation Pete Butigieg was not included in the latest poll, but 37% of the responding registered voters had a positive view of him in last week's poll.

Editor/Lambor

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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