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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) Shares Dive 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 20 20:55

The Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 74%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Micron Technology may still be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.9x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

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NasdaqGS:MU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2024

How Micron Technology Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Micron Technology as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Micron Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Micron Technology?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Micron Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Still, revenue has fallen 16% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 27% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 27% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Micron Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Micron Technology's P/S?

Micron Technology's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Analysts are forecasting Micron Technology's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Micron Technology that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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