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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Ascendis Pharma A/S' (NASDAQ:ASND) Price

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 19 02:05

Ascendis Pharma A/S' (NASDAQ:ASND) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 22.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 11.8x and even P/S below 4x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:ASND Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 18th 2024

How Has Ascendis Pharma Performed Recently?

Ascendis Pharma certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Ascendis Pharma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Ascendis Pharma's Revenue Growth Trending?

Ascendis Pharma's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 61% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 209% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Ascendis Pharma is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Ascendis Pharma's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've concluded that Ascendis Pharma currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Ascendis Pharma is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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