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TrueCar, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TRUE) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 34% Share Price Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 18 19:55

The TrueCar, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRUE) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 34%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 56%.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Interactive Media and Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may consider TrueCar as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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NasdaqGS:TRUE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 18th 2024

How TrueCar Has Been Performing

TrueCar could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on TrueCar.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as TrueCar's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.0% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 39% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that TrueCar's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does TrueCar's P/S Mean For Investors?

TrueCar's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that TrueCar maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Interactive Media and Services industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for TrueCar that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of TrueCar's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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