share_log

【每日天气追踪】美国平原地区北部天气向好,小麦价格或再承压?

【Daily Weather Tracking】Will the weather in the northern part of the USA plains improve and put pressure on the price of chicago SRW wheat?

Golden10 Data ·  Jul 15 21:47

The 6-10 day outlook from July 20 to 24 by the USA National Weather Service indicates that the northern and western parts of the USA, as well as Florida, may experience temperatures close to or above normal levels.

The following is the agricultural weather forecast for Monday, July 15, 2024 in the United States, exclusively compiled by the Futubull APP.

Western United States Cool and rainy weather extends from the northwestern Pacific to the northern Rockies. This rain is beneficial for crops in the northwest, including winter wheat and small grains sown in the spring. At the same time, the hot weather in the Southwest is beneficial for farming and crop growth, although there is a high wildfire threat in some areas of Arizona and New Mexico.

Higher-than-normal temperatures persist, despite a more active monsoon circulation causing an increase in cloudiness and scattered showers in the Rocky Mountains, Great Basin, and southwestern regions. Several western wildfires remain active and thunderstorm activity may spark new ones.

Corn Planting Area of the United States Showers and a few thunderstorms extend southwest from the Upper Midwest. At the same time, warm and mostly dry weather in the eastern corn belt is favorable for late-season corn and soybean planting, as well as winter wheat growth.

Today, a heat wave from Kansas southward will push temperatures into the range of 100 to 105°F. This high temperature is increasing irrigation demand and pressure on various summer crops, including corn, cotton, and wheat. In contrast, mild shower weather in the northern Great Plains area is conducive to the development of summer crops. If achieved, the U.S. Department of Agriculture predicts a record-high U.S. spring wheat yield of 53.1 bushels per acre.

Weather Outlook Initially, the active weather in most parts of the United States will eventually consolidate along the cold front sweeping through the central United States on Tuesday. Subsequently, the cold front will reach the coastal states along the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday, although cool and unstable showers will persist in the Great Lakes states for a few days. According to preliminary reports, the United States will breathe a sigh of relief from the continuous thunderstorms that triggered more than 500 tornadoes in May. Before calm weather arrives, precipitation in the eastern half of the United States may reach 1 to 3 inches, except in the southern hinterland. In addition, early heat waves will expand in the western United States this weekend, with maximum temperatures exceeding 110 degrees Fahrenheit and covering lower altitude areas in the desert southwest.

Thunderstorms over the weekend caused localized winds and hail damage. However, the rain was generally beneficial for the growth of corn and soybeans. Earlier today, different thunderstorm systems were affecting the eastern corn belt and far upper Midwest. Meanwhile, the southern corn belt generally experienced high temperatures, with temperatures expected to reach 100°F in Missouri and southern Illinois.

Map of US Corn Production Areas

Hot and humid weather continues. Today, temperatures in parts of Virginia and North Carolina will reach or exceed 100°F. The continued high temperatures are continuing to stress summer crops, including corn, cotton, and soybeans, especially in the Southeast where soil moisture is lacking.

Chicago SRW Wheat and Corn Futures

A cool air mass is soon to arrive in the Midwest, South, and Northeast, and temperatures in most areas will stay below 90°F through mid to late week. In fact, temperatures in the Midwest will generally stay below 80°F on July 17-18. Thunderstorms will precede and accompany the cooler weather, and rainfall will come into the Southeast in the latter half of this week. In the Ohio Valley, southern and eastern corn belts, and Southeast, total rainfall for the next five days could reach 1 to 3 inches or more, with possibly heavier amounts along the Atlantic Coast. Meanwhile, monsoon circulation will remain active, bringing scattered showers to the southwestern, Great Basin, and Rocky Mountain and High Plains central and southern regions. In contrast, the weather in the Pacific coastal states, northwest, and western, central, and southern regions of Texas will generally be dry. Most western regions will be relieved of record-breaking high temperatures, although temperatures will remain above normal levels.

The 6-10 day outlook from the U.S. National Weather Service for July 20-24 shows that above-normal temperatures may occur in the northern and western United States, as well as Florida, while the central and southern plains, Midwest, southern and eastern corn belts, and inland areas of the Southeast will see cooler temperatures than normal. Meanwhile, the Pacific Coast and northern regions will have near or below-normal precipitation, while the southern region of the United States will be wetter than normal.

Soybeans should be translated as soybean.

The Atlantic Ocean should be translated as the Atlantic.

Cotton should be translated as cotton.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
    Write a comment