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Even With A 38% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Inseego Corp.'s (NASDAQ:INSG) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 4 18:14

Despite an already strong run, Inseego Corp. (NASDAQ:INSG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 38% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 70% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Inseego's P/S ratio of 0.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Communications industry in the United States is also close to 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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NasdaqGS:INSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 4th 2024

What Does Inseego's Recent Performance Look Like?

Inseego could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Inseego's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Inseego?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Inseego's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 40% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.1% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 4.7%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Inseego's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Inseego's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Inseego's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Inseego (at least 2 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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